Fooled by Randomness - Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
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This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues:…mehr

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Produktbeschreibung
This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the Survival of the Least Fit. Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance. It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
Autorenporträt
NASSIM NICHOLAS TALEB has devoted his life to studying problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He has managed to transform his interests into three careers, as a man of letters, a financial trader, and a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University. His books have been published in thirty-six languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.
Rezensionen
"[Taleb is] Wall Street s principal dissident. . . . [Fooled By Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther s ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic Church.
Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker

Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.
Peter L. Bernstein, author of Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk

Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.
Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play

We need a book like this . . . fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.
Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance