Tom K. Lloyd

Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers (eBook, ePUB)

Integrating Technical Analysis with Fundamentals to Improve Performance

• Format: ePub

Produktbeschreibung

A comprehensive guide to technical analysis for both the novice and the professional Technical analysis is a vital tool for any trader, asset manager, or investor who wants to earn top returns. Successful Stock Signals for Traders and Portfolio Managers lets you combine technical analysis and fundamental analysis using existing technical signals to improve your investing performance. Author Tom Lloyd Sr. explains all the technical indicators you need to know, including moving averages, relative strength, support and resistance, sell and buy signals, candlesticks, point and figure charts, Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Bands, and both classic and new indicators. Merging these technical indicators with fundamental analysis will keep you in a portfolio of outperforming stocks, sharpen your fundamental buy discipline, and put your sell discipline on autopilot. * Includes case studies applying technical analysis to current trending and hotly debated stocks like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Netflix * Offers thorough and straightforward guidance on technical analysis for both professional and individual investors * Covers the vital indicators in the public domain that investors need to know Whether you're an individual investor who wants to beat the indexes, a trader looking for high-risk, high-return positions, or a portfolio manager who wants to take a fundamental approach, this an ideal guide to technical analysis and indicators.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
• Seitenzahl: 368
• Erscheinungstermin: 2. Juli 2013
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781118651919
• Artikelnr.: 39068118

Autorenporträt

THOMAS K. LLOYD SR. has spent twenty-five years as a consultant teaching professional portfolio managers how to use technical analysis. He holds an MBA in accounting and formerly taught an investing course at St. John's University using an integrated fundamental and technical approach. His articles have appeared in numerous media outlets, including Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine, SeekingAlpha.com, and MarketWatch.com.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface xvii Acknowledgments xxi CHAPTER 1 Using Moving Averages and
Relative Strength Performance to Beat the Index 1 Relative Strength Index,
Money Flow Index, Keltner Channels, and Standard Deviation, with Apple
Exhibits Know the Playing Field 1 Apple Computer's 200-Day Moving Average 3
20-, 50-, and 200-Day Moving Averages 4 Relative Strength versus the S&P
500 Index 6 Keltner Channels 8 Mean Reversion 8 Breakout Signal 9 Apple's
Top at $644 9 Relative Strength Index (RSI) 10 Money Flow Index (MFI) 10
Standard Deviation (StdDev) 11 Relative Strength Performance, AAPL: $SPX 11
Supply and Demand 12 Summary 13 CHAPTER 2 On-Balance Volume,
Accumulation/Distribution, Chaikin Money Flow, Pivot Point, Resistance and
Support, and Point & Figure Chart, with Apple and Google Exhibits 15 Price
and Volume 16 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) 18 Moving Average
Convergence/Divergence (MACD) 18 Value-Added Signals 19 Using Moving
Averages 19 Pivot Point, Support and Resistance Points 20 Reverse
Head-and-Shoulders Bottom 20 Apple Earnings Report 21 Case Study Questions
on Apple 22 Planning for Apple's Earnings Report 22 You Must Now Make a
Decision on Apple before Earnings 25 Answers to the Case Study Questions 25
Summary of the Apple Case Study 30 Google Case Study 30 Summary of the
Google Case Study 38 CHAPTER 3 Bottoms and Tops, Buying and Selling Cycles,
and Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO), with IBM and Hewlett-Packard
Exhibits 39 Inverted Head-and-Shoulders Bottom 39 Double Top and "V" Bottom
41 Resistance 41 Cycles 42 Writing Puts and Calls 42 The "Cloud Stocks" for
the Future 43 Long-Term Investing 43 Buy-and-Hold Strategy Is Problematic
44 Hewlett-Packard Case Study 46 Case Study Answer 47 Percentage Price
Oscillator (PPO) 49 My Answer to the Case Study 51 Summary 51 CHAPTER 4
Sell Signals 53 Double Top, Failed Momentum, 10- and 20-Day Trends, Broken
Support, Aroon Oscillator, and Directional Movement with ADX, with
Herbalife Exhibits Technical Signals before a Blowup 53 Technical Signals
after a Blowup 54 Double-Top Warning 56 The 10- and 20-Day Moving Average
Signals 58 Aroon Oscillator and Directional Movement 59 Comments after the
Herbalife Blowup 60 Herbalife Case Study Challenge 62 Answers to the Case
Study Questions 64 The Daily Chart Looks More Bearish 65 Summary 67 CHAPTER
5 Supply and Demand, Candlestick Signals, and Point & Figure Chart, with
Facebook Exhibits 69 Candlestick Sell Signal for Facebook 69 Failed
Facebook versus Lucky LinkedIn 70 Portfolio Managers Prefer Fundamental
Analysis 71 The Facebook IPO Game 72 Facebook Selloff 73 Facebook Dives
Because of Supply 74 Traders Look for Inefficient Markets 75 Facebook
Secrets Took Price Down 76 Facebook: The Rush to Sell on the First Day 77
Facebook Price in Search of a Bottom 78 Why Is Price Going Down? 79 Seeing
Demand/Supply on the Chart 80 Waiting for Buy Signals 81 Picture of a
"Busted IPO" 82 Point & Figure Chart Shows Continued Selling 83 On-Balance
Volume 86 Accumulation/Distribution 86 Summary Picture of Supply and Demand
88 Facebook's First Earnings Report 88 CMF Signal 89 MFI and MACD Signals
90 Gravestone Doji Candlestick Signal 90 Pivot Point Support/Resistance
Levels 91 Day-Trading Signals 91 Tremendous Supply Overhang 93 Summary 93
CHAPTER 6 Breakout Signals 95 Ascending Triangle, Bullish Rectangle, Double
Bottom, and Falling Wedge, with Microsoft, Lululemon, and Home Depot
Exhibits Double Bottom and Bullish Rectangle Breakout 95 What Is Wrong with
Microsoft? 96 What Caused Microsoft to Break Out? 98 Falling Wedge Signals
Double Bottom 100 Candlestick Hammer a Bullish Reversal Signal 100 Case
Study: Home Depot Ascending Triangle 101 Summary 104 CHAPTER 7 Relative
Strength Index, Stochastic, and MACD, with Lululemon Exhibits 105 Case
Study: Lululemon before Earnings Are Reported 108 What Are You Ready to Do?
110 Answer to the Case Study 111 Now Are You Ready to Sell Call Options?
112 False Sell Signals in the 200-Day and Relative Strength 117 Summary 120
CHAPTER 8 Blow-Off Top, Trend Line Reversal, Channel Breakout, and Fan
Lines, with Green Mountain Coffee Exhibits 121 Why Study Stocks that Blow
Up? 121 How to Make Money When a Stock Crashes 122 Blow-Off Top and Trend
Reversal 122 Sell Signals before the Fall 123 Selling Short after Einhorn's
Presentation 126 The Fatal Sell Signals 127 Bottom Fishing Green Mountain a
Year Later 128 Looking for Buy Signals 130 Trading the Dead Cat Bounce 132
Summary 134 CHAPTER 9 Classic Top, Death Cross, Double Bottom, Bull Trap,
and Dead Cat Bounce, with Netfl ix Exhibits 135 Classic Top: End of a
Long-Term Uptrend 135 You Must Have a Sell Discipline 136 Death Cross, Dead
Cat Bounce to a Bull Trap, Double Bottom 138 Buy Signals to Double Your
Money on the Dead Cat Bounce 139 Dead Cat Bounce Up Fails 141 Broken "W"
Bottom--Negative Surprise 144 Second Dead Cat Bounce and Second Failure 147
Summary 148 CHAPTER 10 Gaps, Divergences, Breakdowns and Breakouts,
Oscillators, with Research In Motion Exhibits 149 Apple versus Research In
Motion, Stock Pairs Hedging 149 The Fall of Research In Motion from $148 to
$35 151 Negative Divergence 152 Double Bottom, Dead Cat Bounce, Double Top,
Capitulation 154 Oversold/Overbought Oscillator 155 Trading the Dead Cat
Bounce 155 Research In Motion Breakout Buy Signals 156 Research In Motion's
Double-Top Dive from $88 to $6 160 Research In Motion: All Signals Bearish
for Three Years 161 Summary 163 CHAPTER 11 Relative Strength, Elliott Wave,
and Fibonacci Levels, with Priceline Exhibits 165 Guidelines for Success
165 Priceline Five-Year Performance versus Apple 166 Case Study Challenge
for Priceline 167 Fundamental Models 168 Priceline Short-Term Daily Chart
Signals 169 Priceline Long-Term Weekly Chart 171 Answer to the Priceline
Case Study 175 My Postmortem Article on MarketWatch.com 176 Proactive
before Earnings 178 Elliott Wave Targets a $440 Downside Test 179 Summary
180 CHAPTER 12 Evolution of Technical Signals from A to Z, with LinkedIn
Exhibits 183 LinkedIn IPO Successful 184 LinkedIn Selloff after Doubling
the First Day 184 Practice with the LinkedIn Signals 186 Do You Buy
LinkedIn on Weakness? 186 LinkedIn Case Study Challenge 189 Wall Street
Price Targets for LinkedIn 190 What the Quants Are Saying 191 What the
Charts Are Saying About Demand and Supply 193 Your Decision Required before
LinkedIn Earnings Are Announced 196 Answers to the LinkedIn Case Study 197
Summary 202 CHAPTER 13 Using the 200-Day Moving Average and Relative
Strength to Rotate In and Out of Winners, with Starbucks Exhibits 203
Portfolio Managers Create Price Trends 205 What Do Portfolio Managers Look
At? 206 What Do Traders Look At? 207 Monthly Chart for Portfolio Managers
207 Leading Sell Signals 209 What Will the Weekly Chart Do for the
Portfolio Manager? 211 Positive Up Arrows in Exhibit 13.3 213 How Do You
Trade Starbucks Short Term? 214 Day Trading Starbucks after Good Earnings
217 Summary 222 CHAPTER 14 Technical Signals for Your Buy and Sell
Discipline, from Stochastics to the 200-Day Moving Average, with Chipotle
Mexican Grill Exhibits 223 Price Jumps on the Analyst Upgrade 225 Day
Trading the News 226 Trading Systems 227 Trading Information 228
Day-Trading Buy Signals 228 Sell Signals on the Short-Term Daily Chart 230
Buying at the Bottom 230 Change in Character from Bull to Bear 232 Selling
at the Top 232 Hammer Candlestick Reversal Signal 235 Counting Down with
Fibonacci and Elliott 236 Optimize Entry Level after Fundamental Buy Signal
236 Waiting for the Bottom 238 Summary 239 CHAPTER 15 Using Money Flow,
Trend Lines, RSI, Stochastic, MACD, and Buy/Sell Signals to Rotate In and
Out of Losers, with J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs Exhibits 241 J.P. Morgan
and Goldman Sachs versus the Regulators 242 J.P. Morgan Buy/Sell Signals
243 Signals for Stocks in a Trading Range 245 Buying the Bottom for a Trade
247 Trader's Buy Signals 247 Portfolio Manager's Buy/Sell Signals 248
Goldman Sachs, Best of Breed 252 Goldman's Latest Sell Signal 252 Is the
Goldman Sachs Bottom at $86 or $43? 255 Summary 257 CHAPTER 16 Day Trading
Using Candlesticks, Real-Time Volume and Price, RSI, MFI, MACD, and 20- to
50-Minute Moving Averages, with Salesforce Exhibits 259 What Is the World
of Trading? 259 Trading Technology 261 How Has Technical Analysis Changed?
262 Trading Profi tably 263 Case Study in Trading Salesforce.com 264
Answers to Monday's Day-Trading Example 267 Time for the Second Trade on
Monday--What Will You Do? 270 Answer to the Second Trade on Monday 271
Third Trade for Monday 272 Answer to Monday's Third Trade 272 Tuesday's
Day-Trading Case Question for You to Answer 275 Answer to Tuesday's Case
Study Challenge 275 There Is Much More to Day Trading 279 Summary 279
CHAPTER 17 Investors Need Reliable Signals 281 50- and 200-Day Moving
Averages, Money Flow, Relative Strength, and Directional Movement, with
Apple, Home Depot and Wal-Mart Exhibits Finding Great Stocks Such as Apple
282 Dow 30 Stocks 284 Home Depot--Anatomy of a Buy 286 Technical Analysis
with Fundamentals 290 Wal-Mart--Anatomy of a Buy on Weakness 291 Summary
294 CHAPTER 18 Traders Need Stocks to Trade 295 Using Candlesticks, Volume,
10-Minute Chart, Stochastic, MACD, and RSI, with Gamestop, Green Mountain
Coffee, and JCPenney Exhibits Traders Are Early Birds 296 Traders Are
Opportunistic 297 Traders Have a List of Longs and Shorts 298 Gamestop on
the Long List but It's a Trading Short 298 Trading the Positive Surprise in
Green Mountain Coffee 303 Why No Short Squeeze in Green Mountain Coffee?
306 Preparing a Trader's Short List 306 Summary 308 CHAPTER 19 Winning in
the Stock Market Using Technical Analysis, S&P 500 Index, SPY, and Reading
the Market, with SPY Exhibits 309 What Is the Current Status of the Market?
310 Elliott Waves 312 Using the Stock Trader's Almanac 312 Identifying Tops
in the Market 313 Is This a Market Top? 314 Percentage Price Oscillator's
Buy/Sell Signals 314 Moving Average Convergence Divergence's Buy/Sell
Signals 316 Know Sure Thing Buy/Sell Signals 317 Keltner Channels Buy/Sell
Signals 317 Closer View of the Monthly Chart 318 Switching to the Weekly
Chart (Exhibit 19.3) 321 The Daily Chart Everyone Uses First 323 The Day
Trader Is Trying to Dodge the Fiscal Cliff News 325 Day-Trading 5-Minute
Chart (Exhibit 19.5) 326 Trader's Buy Signals (Blue Line in Exhibit 19.5)
328 Trader's Sell Signals (Red Line on Exhibit 19.5) 330 Summary 331 About
the Companion Website 333 About the Author 335 Index 337