Paolo Brandimarte

Quantitative Methods (eBook, PDF)

An Introduction for Business Management

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

An accessible introduction to the essential quantitative methods for making valuable business decisions Quantitative methods-research techniques used to analyze quantitative data-enable professionals to organize and understand numbers and, in turn, to make good decisions. Quantitative Methods: An Introduction for Business Management presents the application of quantitative mathematical modeling to decision making in a business management context and emphasizes not only the role of data in drawing conclusions, but also the pitfalls of undiscerning reliance of software packages that implement standard statistical procedures. With hands-on applications and explanations that are accessible to readers at various levels, the book successfully outlines the necessary tools to make smart and successful business decisions. Progressing from beginner to more advanced material at an easy-to-follow pace, the author utilizes motivating examples throughout to aid readers interested in decision making and also provides critical remarks, intuitive traps, and counterexamples when appropriate. The book begins with a discussion of motivations and foundations related to the topic, with introductory presentations of concepts from calculus to linear algebra. Next, the core ideas of quantitative methods are presented in chapters that explore introductory topics in probability, descriptive and inferential statistics, linear regression, and a discussion of time series that includes both classical topics and more challenging models. The author also discusses linear programming models and decision making under risk as well as less standard topics in the field such as game theory and Bayesian statistics. Finally, the book concludes with a focus on selected tools from multivariate statistics, including advanced regression models and data reduction methods such as principal component analysis, factor analysis, and cluster analysis. The book promotes the importance of an analytical approach, particularly when dealing with a complex system where multiple individuals are involved and have conflicting incentives. A related website features Microsoft Excelstyle="font-family:">® workbooks and MATLABstyle="font-family:">® scripts to illustrate concepts as well as additional exercises with solutions. Quantitative Methods is an excellent book for courses on the topic at the graduate level. The book also serves as an authoritative reference and self-study guide for financial and business professionals, as well as readers looking to reinforce their analytical skills.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
• Seitenzahl: 912
• Erscheinungstermin: 9. Mai 2011
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781118023457
• Artikelnr.: 38242013

Autorenporträt

Paolo Brandimarte is Professor of Quantitative Methods for Finance and Logistics at Politecnico di Torino (Italy). He has published numerous journal articles on the application of optimization and simulation methods in different areas, ranging from production management to finance. Dr. Brandimarte is the author of Numerical Methods in Finance and Economics: A MATLAB-Based Introduction, Second Edition and coauthor of Introduction to Distribution Logistics, both published by Wiley.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface. Part I. Motivations and Foundations. 1 Quantitative Methods:
Should we Bother?. 1.1 A decision problem without uncertainty: product mix.
1.2 The role of uncertainty. 1.3 Endogenous vs. exogenous uncertainty: Are
we alone?. 1.4 Quantitative models and methods. 1.5 Quantitative analysis
and problem solving. Problems. For further reading. References. 2 Calculus.
2.1 A motivating example: economic order quantity. 2.2 A little background.
2.3 Functions. 2.4 Continuous functions. 2.5 Composite functions. 2.6
Inverse functions. 2.7 Derivatives. 2.8 Rules for calculating derivatives.
2.9 Using derivatives for graphing functions. 2.10 Higher-order derivatives
and Taylor expansions. 2.11 Convexity and optimization. 2.12 Sequences and
series. Problems. For further reading. References. 3 Linear Algebra. 3.1 A
motivating example: binomial option pricing. 3.2 Solving systems of linear
equations. 3.3 Vector algebra. 3.4 Matrix algebra. 3.5 Linear spaces. 3.6
Determinant. 3.7 Eigenvalues and eigenvectors. 3.8 Quadratic forms. 3.9
Calculus in multiple dimensions. Problems. For further reading. References.
Part II Elementary Probability and Statistics. 4 Descriptive Statistics: On
the Way to Elementary Probability. 4.1 What is Statistics?. 4.2 Organizing
and representing raw data. 4.3 Summary measures. 4.4 Cumulative frequencies
and percentiles. 4.5 Multidimensional data. Problems. For further reading.
References. 5 Probability Theories. 5.1 Different concepts of probability.
5.2 The axiomatic approach. 5.3 Conditional probability and independence.
5.4 Total probability and Bayes' theorems. Problems. For further reading.
References. 6 Discrete Random Variables. 6.1 Random variables. 6.2
Characterizing discrete distributions. 6.3 Expected value. 6.4 Variance and
standard deviation. Problems. For further reading. References. 7 Continuous
Random Variables. 7.1 Building intuition: from discrete to continuous
random variables. 7.2 Cumulative distribution and probability density
functions. 7.3 Expected value and variance. 7.4 Mode, median, and
quantiles. 7.5 Higher-order moments, skewness, and kurtosis. 7.6 A few
useful continuous probability distributions. 7.7 Sums of independent random
variables. 7.8 Miscellaneous applications. 7.9 Stochastic processes. 7.10
Probability spaces, measurability, and information. Problems. For further
reading. References. 8 Dependence, Correlation, and Conditional
Expectation. 8.1 Joint and marginal distributions. 8.2 Independent random
variables. 8.3 Covariance and correlation. 8.4 Jointly normal variables.
8.5 Conditional expectation. Problems. For further reading. References. 9
Inferential Statistics. 9.1 Random samples and sample statistics. 9.2
Confidence intervals. 9.3 Hypothesis testing. 9.4 Beyond the mean of one
population. 9.5 Checking the fit of hypothetical distributions: the
chi-square test. 9.6 Analysis of variance. 9.7 Monte Carlo simulation. 9.8
Stochastic convergence and the law of large numbers. 9.9 Parameter
estimation. 9.10 Some more hypothesis testing theory. Problems. For further
reading. References. 10 Simple Linear Regression. 10.1 Least squares
method. 10.2 The need for a statistical framework. 10.3 The case of a
non-stochastic regressor. 10.4 Using regression models. 10.5 A glimpse of
stochastic regressors and heteroskedastic errors. 10.6 A vector space look
at linear regression. Problems. For further reading. References. 11 Time
Series Models. 11.1 Before we start: Framing the forecasting process. 11.2
Measuring forecasting errors. 11.3 Time series decomposition. 11.4 Moving
average. 11.5 Heuristic exponential smoothing. 11.6 A glance at advanced
time series modeling. Problems. For further reading. References. Part III
Models for Decision Making. 12 Deterministic Decision Models. 12.1 A
taxonomy of optimization models. 12.2 Building linear programming models.
12.3 A repertoire of model formulation tricks. 12.4 Building integer
programming models. 12.5 Nonlinear programming concepts. 12.6 A glance at
solution methods. Problems. For further reading. References. 13 Decision
Making under Risk. 13.1 Decision trees. 13.2 Risk aversion and risk
measures. 13.3 Two-stage stochastic programming models. 13.4 Multi-stage
stochastic linear programming with recourse. 13.5 Robustness, regret, and
disappointment. Problems. For further reading. References. 14 Multiple
Decision Makers, Subjective Probability, and Other Wild Beasts. 14.1 What
is uncertainty?. 14.2 Decision problems with multiple decision makers. 14.3
Incentive misalignment in supply chain management. 14.4 Game theory. 14.5
Braess' paradox for traffic networks. 14.6 Dynamic feedback effects and
herding behavior. 14.7 Subjective probability: the Bayesian view. Problems.
For further reading. References. Part IV Advanced Statistical Modeling. 15
Introduction to Multivariate Analysis. 15.1 Issues in multivariate
analysis. 15.2 An overview of multivariate methods. 15.3 Matrix algebra and
multivariate analysis. For further reading. References. 16 Advanced
Regression Models. 16.1 Multiple linear regression by least squares. 16.2
Building, testing, and using multiple linear regression models. 16.3
Logistic regression. 16.4 A glance at nonlinear regression. Problems. For
further reading. References. 17 Dealing with Complexity: Data Reduction and
Clustering. 17.1 The need for data reduction. 17.2 Principal component
analysis (PCA). 17.3 Factor analysis. 17.4 Cluster analysis. For further
reading. References. Index.