Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Broschiertes Buch

The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

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The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don t know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise...