Hrachya Vardanyan

Scientific and technological forecasting

Organizational, methodological and applied issues

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

The first chapter of the book deals with the general characteristics of scientific and technical forecasting for military purposes. This is preceded by clarification of the essence of the concepts of "scientific foresight" and "forecast" to clarify the difference between them. This is due to the fact that the scientific literature often mixes these concepts. This chapter analyses the components of forecasting: methodology; information basis of forecasting; organizational structure of forecasting. The second chapter of the study proposes a methodology developed by the author to determine the effectiveness of scientific and technical forecasting based on the introduction and use of integral characteristics to obtain a generalized criterion of information efficiency of forecasting. The methodology deals only with the assessment of the information efficiency of forecasting, assuming that the information efficiency of forecasting can be determined by the value of forecast information about the future state and properties of the object of any nature to make the right decision in the present.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
• Seitenzahl: 60
• Erscheinungstermin: 8. März 2020
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 220mm x 150mm x 4mm
• Gewicht: 107g
• ISBN-13: 9786200788221
• ISBN-10: 6200788227
• Artikelnr.: 58789878

Autorenporträt

Vardanyan Hrachya Anushavanovich. Hrachya Vardanyan werd geboren in 1944 in Jerevan en studeerde in 1973 af aan de postdoctorale opleiding van het Instituut voor Wereldeconomie en Internationale Betrekkingen van de USSR Academie van Wetenschappen (Moskou). Kandidaat voor de Wetenschappen (Ph.D.) in de Economie, Senior Onderzoeker.