This book applies a new theoretical framework based on a balance sheet approach and macro-financial linkage analysis to analyse macroeconomic trends in China for 2020. Uncertainties brought about by Covid19 have necessitated a policy of steady growth.
This book applies a new theoretical framework based on a balance sheet approach and macro-financial linkage analysis to analyse macroeconomic trends in China for 2020. Uncertainties brought about by Covid19 have necessitated a policy of steady growth.
Zhang Xiaojing is a professor of economics and director of Institute of Finance & Banking (IFB), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS); director of National Institution for Finance & Development (NIFD); and a member of Chinese Economists 50 Forum. His research interests are open economy macroeconomics, macro finance, and development economics. Wang Pinda is a graduate of Peking University. His research interests include labor economics and macroeconomics. He has translated books about macroeconomic policies of China.
Inhaltsangabe
Preface. Part I Introduction. 1. Dancing with the black swan: the balance between economic growth and risk in a new paradigm (Zhang Xiaojing). Part II Stabilizing Growth. 2. The analysis and prospects of consumption (Li Cheng). 3. The analysis and prospects of investment in fixed assets (Liu Xueliang). 4. The analysis and prospects of international trade (Zhang Ying). Part III Stabilizing Leverage. 5. Analysis of the household leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 6. The analysis of the corporate leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 7. The analysis of government leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 8. The analysis of financial leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 9. The estimation of local governments' hidden debt and its risks (Liu Lei). Part IV Stabilization Policy. 10. Analysis and outlook for fiscal policy (Liu Lei). 11. Analysis and outlook for monetary policy (Chen Hanpeng). 12. The global economic predicament and the transformation of China's macroeconomic policy (Tang Duoduo). Afterword.
Preface. Part I Introduction. 1. Dancing with the black swan: the balance between economic growth and risk in a new paradigm (Zhang Xiaojing). Part II Stabilizing Growth. 2. The analysis and prospects of consumption (Li Cheng). 3. The analysis and prospects of investment in fixed assets (Liu Xueliang). 4. The analysis and prospects of international trade (Zhang Ying). Part III Stabilizing Leverage. 5. Analysis of the household leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 6. The analysis of the corporate leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 7. The analysis of government leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 8. The analysis of financial leverage ratio (Zhang Xiaojing, Chang Xin and Liu Lei). 9. The estimation of local governments' hidden debt and its risks (Liu Lei). Part IV Stabilization Policy. 10. Analysis and outlook for fiscal policy (Liu Lei). 11. Analysis and outlook for monetary policy (Chen Hanpeng). 12. The global economic predicament and the transformation of China's macroeconomic policy (Tang Duoduo). Afterword.
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