Judging the Likelihood of Future Events
Shaan Shahabuddin
Broschiertes Buch

Judging the Likelihood of Future Events

The Role of Anticipated Affect

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The desirability bias explains that desirable events are judged as more likely to occur. Lench (2009) paired positive affect to a white car image and found higher likelihood ratings for the white car, supporting the desirability bias. In this study, participants (N=90) anticipated watching a valenced video (positive, negative, or neutral), viewed a series of neutral images (including a white car image), then rated the likelihood of owning a white car. The "buffer hypothesis" suggests that anticipation of a negative event (i.e., a negative video) would infuse current experiences (owning a white...