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Decision-making for flood defense while facing a considerable change in driving forces demands other methods than the traditional approach of forecasting and optimal policy selection. Exploratory modeling can be a candidate for helping adaptive policymaking to deal with the uncertainties that confront decision-makers. In adaptive policymaking, policies are considered as response to changes over time. This research addresses the question whether exploratory modeling is appropriate to support the design of flood defense strategies and in particular to assess the value of flexibility in such designs.…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
Decision-making for flood defense while facing a considerable change in driving forces demands other methods than the traditional approach of forecasting and optimal policy selection. Exploratory modeling can be a candidate for helping adaptive policymaking to deal with the uncertainties that confront decision-makers. In adaptive policymaking, policies are considered as response to changes over time. This research addresses the question whether exploratory modeling is appropriate to support the design of flood defense strategies and in particular to assess the value of flexibility in such designs.
Autorenporträt
Ali Karkhaneh finished his master degree in Engineering and Policy Analysis with close supervision of Prof. Dr. Ir. Chris Zevenbergen (Professor of Flood Resilience of Urban Systems). He has a background in economics and worked as a professional in field of strategy making for flooding. His second area of expertise is insurance and risk.