Robyn Dawes demonstrates how irrationality results from ignoring obvious comparisons, while instead falling into associational and story-based thinking. He also demonstrates that a lot of everyday judgment, unsupported professional claims, and even social policy is based on "everyday" irrationality.
Robyn Dawes demonstrates how irrationality results from ignoring obvious comparisons, while instead falling into associational and story-based thinking. He also demonstrates that a lot of everyday judgment, unsupported professional claims, and even social policy is based on "everyday" irrationality.
Robyn Dawes is the author of over 150 articles and four books, the latest being House of Cards, and Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, which won the William James Award from the American Psychological Association. He has degrees from Harvard, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor and is now teaching at the Carnegie Mellon University. He lives in Pittsburgh, PA.
Inhaltsangabe
1 Irrationality Is Abundant 2 Irrationality Has Consequences 3 Irrationality: Emotional Cognitive Both or Neither? 4 Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification 5 Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality 6 Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment 7 Good Stories 8 Connecting Ourselves with Others Without Recourse to a Good Story 9 Sexual Abuse Hysteria 10 Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) 11 Rescuing Human Rationality
1 Irrationality Is Abundant 2 Irrationality Has Consequences 3 Irrationality: Emotional Cognitive Both or Neither? 4 Irrationality as a "Reasonable" Response to an Incomplete Specification 5 Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality 6 Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment 7 Good Stories 8 Connecting Ourselves with Others Without Recourse to a Good Story 9 Sexual Abuse Hysteria 10 Figure Versus Ground (Entry Value Versus Default Value) 11 Rescuing Human Rationality
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