G. L. S. Shackle
Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs
G. L. S. Shackle
Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs
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This second edition examines how one makes a decision and the factors that influence that decision.
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This second edition examines how one makes a decision and the factors that influence that decision.
Produktdetails
- Produktdetails
- Verlag: Cambridge University Press
- Revised
- Seitenzahl: 348
- Erscheinungstermin: 2. Juli 2010
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 216mm x 140mm x 21mm
- Gewicht: 491g
- ISBN-13: 9780521147491
- ISBN-10: 0521147492
- Artikelnr.: 31187799
- Verlag: Cambridge University Press
- Revised
- Seitenzahl: 348
- Erscheinungstermin: 2. Juli 2010
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 216mm x 140mm x 21mm
- Gewicht: 491g
- ISBN-13: 9780521147491
- ISBN-10: 0521147492
- Artikelnr.: 31187799
Preface to the second edition
Preface to the first edition
Part I. Time: 1. Decision
2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation
3. The solitary moment
4. Insulated dynamic schemes
5. Three critics
6. Time and decision in sum
Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability
8. Professor Niehans on probability
9. Uncertainty as possibility
10. Potential surprise axiomatized
11. Critics of potential surprise
12. Uncertainty in sum
Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model
15. The neutral outcome
16. Cardinality
17. The cardinal potential surprise curve
18. The ascendancy function
19. Focus elements
20. Choice amongst actions
21. Critics of focus elements
22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios
23. Ascendancy in sum
Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation
25. The basis of change of expectations
Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment
27. A theory of the interest rate
28. Profit and the range of non-revision
29. Order and decision in economics
Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision
Bibliography
Index.
Preface to the first edition
Part I. Time: 1. Decision
2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation
3. The solitary moment
4. Insulated dynamic schemes
5. Three critics
6. Time and decision in sum
Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability
8. Professor Niehans on probability
9. Uncertainty as possibility
10. Potential surprise axiomatized
11. Critics of potential surprise
12. Uncertainty in sum
Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model
15. The neutral outcome
16. Cardinality
17. The cardinal potential surprise curve
18. The ascendancy function
19. Focus elements
20. Choice amongst actions
21. Critics of focus elements
22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios
23. Ascendancy in sum
Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation
25. The basis of change of expectations
Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment
27. A theory of the interest rate
28. Profit and the range of non-revision
29. Order and decision in economics
Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision
Bibliography
Index.
Preface to the second edition
Preface to the first edition
Part I. Time: 1. Decision
2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation
3. The solitary moment
4. Insulated dynamic schemes
5. Three critics
6. Time and decision in sum
Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability
8. Professor Niehans on probability
9. Uncertainty as possibility
10. Potential surprise axiomatized
11. Critics of potential surprise
12. Uncertainty in sum
Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model
15. The neutral outcome
16. Cardinality
17. The cardinal potential surprise curve
18. The ascendancy function
19. Focus elements
20. Choice amongst actions
21. Critics of focus elements
22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios
23. Ascendancy in sum
Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation
25. The basis of change of expectations
Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment
27. A theory of the interest rate
28. Profit and the range of non-revision
29. Order and decision in economics
Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision
Bibliography
Index.
Preface to the first edition
Part I. Time: 1. Decision
2. Imagination, expectation, anticipation
3. The solitary moment
4. Insulated dynamic schemes
5. Three critics
6. Time and decision in sum
Part II. Uncertainty: 7. Uncertainty as probability
8. Professor Niehans on probability
9. Uncertainty as possibility
10. Potential surprise axiomatized
11. Critics of potential surprise
12. Uncertainty in sum
Part III. Ascendancy: 14. A basic model
15. The neutral outcome
16. Cardinality
17. The cardinal potential surprise curve
18. The ascendancy function
19. Focus elements
20. Choice amongst actions
21. Critics of focus elements
22. Mr Egerton's theory of asset portfolios
23. Ascendancy in sum
Part IV. Expectation of Change of Own Expectation: 24. Expectation of change of own expectation
25. The basis of change of expectations
Part V. Some Economic Illustrations: 26. Horizon, interest and investment
27. A theory of the interest rate
28. Profit and the range of non-revision
29. Order and decision in economics
Part VI. Policy, Profit and Decision: 30. Policy, profit and decision
Bibliography
Index.