Ashraf Laïdi
Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
How to Profit from the Shifting Currents in Global Markets
Ashraf Laïdi
Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
How to Profit from the Shifting Currents in Global Markets
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As head FX strategist at CMC Markets one of the world s leading forex/commodity brokers Ashraf Laidi understands the forces shaping today s currency market and their interplay with interest rates, equities, and commodities. And now, with Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis, he shares his extensive experiences in this field with you. Throughout the book, Laidi outlines the tools needed to understand the macroeconomic and financial nuances of this dynamic field and provides you with insights that are essential to making the most of your time within it.
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As head FX strategist at CMC Markets one of the world s leading forex/commodity brokers Ashraf Laidi understands the forces shaping today s currency market and their interplay with interest rates, equities, and commodities. And now, with Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis, he shares his extensive experiences in this field with you. Throughout the book, Laidi outlines the tools needed to understand the macroeconomic and financial nuances of this dynamic field and provides you with insights that are essential to making the most of your time within it.
Produktdetails
- Produktdetails
- Wiley Trading Series
- Verlag: Wiley & Sons
- Artikelnr. des Verlages: 14522623000
- 1. Auflage
- Seitenzahl: 304
- Erscheinungstermin: 1. November 2008
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 235mm x 157mm x 21mm
- Gewicht: 498g
- ISBN-13: 9780470226230
- ISBN-10: 0470226234
- Artikelnr.: 23896249
- Wiley Trading Series
- Verlag: Wiley & Sons
- Artikelnr. des Verlages: 14522623000
- 1. Auflage
- Seitenzahl: 304
- Erscheinungstermin: 1. November 2008
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 235mm x 157mm x 21mm
- Gewicht: 498g
- ISBN-13: 9780470226230
- ISBN-10: 0470226234
- Artikelnr.: 23896249
Ashraf Laïdl is the head FX Strategist at CMC Markets, where he oversees the analysis and forecasting functions of G-10 currency pairs as well as decisions and trends of the major global central banks. His online FX analysis has received wide following for more than a decade, centering on G-10 currencies and economies. Prior to joining CMC, Laïdi monitored the performance of a multi-FX portfolio at the United Nations, assessed sovereign and project investment risk for Hagler Bailly and the World Bank, and analyzed emerging market bonds at Reuters. LaÏdi also created the first 24-hour currency Web site for traders and researchers during the inception of the Euro. He is the founder of AshrafLaidi.com.
Foreword. Preface. Acknowledgments. Chapter 1: Gold and the Dollar. End of
Bretton Woods System Marks Gold's Takeoff. Fed Tightening and FX
Interventions Rein in Gold Rally. Central Banks' Gold Sale Agreements.
Gold-USD Inverse Relation. Recent Exceptions to the Inverse Rule. Using
Gold to Identify Currency Leaders and Laggards. Gold's Secular
Performance. Valuing Currencies via Gold. Golden Correlations. Don't Forget
Falling Gold Production. Gold and Equities: Hard versus Monetary Assets.
Equity-to-Gold Ratios. The Role of the Speculators. Gold is Part of a
Larger Story. Chapter 2: Oil Fundamentals in the Currency Market. From a
Gold Standard to an Oil Standard (1970s-1980s). Oil Glut and Price Collapse
(1981-1986). The Super Dollar of 1980-1984: World's Third Oil Shock. World
Intervenes against Strong Dollar (1985-1987). Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait and
the Gulf War (1990-1991). The Asian Crisis and OPEC's Miscalculation
(1997-1998). Oil Thrives on World Growth, Dot-Com Boom (1999-2000). Iraq
War Fuels Oil Rally, Dollar Flounders, China Takes Over (2002-Present).
Summary. Chapter 3: When the Dollar Was King (1999-2001). The Major
Theories. Annual Performance Analysis of Individual Currencies. Summary.
Chapter 4: The Dollar Bear Awakens (2002-2007). 2002: The Beginning of the
Dollar Bear Market. 2003: Dollar Extends Damage, Commodity Currencies Soar.
2004: Global Recovery Boosts Currencies against US Dollar. 2005:
Commodities Soar alongside Dollar, Carry Trades Emerge. 2006: Dollar
Vulnerable as Fed Ends Two-Year Tightening. 2007: Record Oil Boosts Loonie,
Helpless Fed Hits Greenback. Lessons Learned. Chapter 5: Risk Appetite in
the Markets. Carry Trades in Foreign Exchange. Using Risk Appetite to Gauge
FX Flows. Tying It All Together: 1999-2007. Chapter 6: Reading the Fed via
Yield Curves, Equities and Commodities. Yield Curves and the Economy. Types
of Yield Curves. Rationale of Inverted Yield Curve Implications.
Effectiveness of Yield Curve Signals' Implications. Greenspan's
â??Conundrumâ?? Proved Bernanke's Problem. Implications for Growth, Stocks,
and Currencies. Tying Interest Rates to the Gold-Oil Ratio. Conclusion.
Chapter 7: U.S. Imbalances, FX Reserve Diversification and the U.S. Dollar.
The U.S. Twin Deficits. U.S. Current Account Deficit: Old Problem, New
Challenges. Adding the Budget Balance to the Mix. Financing the Deficits:
The Path to Unsustainability? Dissecting U.S.-Bound Foreign Capital Flows.
U.S. Stocks and Bonds Vie for Foreign Money. Capital Flows Shift
Identities. Foreign Direct Investment and M&As. How Long Foreign Capital Be
Available on the Cheap? Don't Ignore U.S. Investors' Flows Abroad. Currency
Reserve Diversification: OPEC and the Middle East. Further Currency
Diversification Is Inevitable. The View Ahead. Chapter 8: Commodities
Supercycles and Currencies. The Current Commodity Cycle versus Previous
Cycles. Dissecting Commodity Classes. Commodities and their Currencies.
Developing World to Maintain Ripe Outlook for Food and Grains. Energy
Efficiency Not Enough to Halt High Oil. Copper and Gold to Shine on
Long-Term Fundamentals. Commanding Heights or Common Bubbles? Chapter 9:
Selected Topics in Foreign Exchange. Revisiting Yield Curves. Is Dollar
Stability a Necessity? How Far Will Commodities Outstrip Equities? U.S.
Politics and the U.S. Dollar. Bibliography. About the Author. Index.
Bretton Woods System Marks Gold's Takeoff. Fed Tightening and FX
Interventions Rein in Gold Rally. Central Banks' Gold Sale Agreements.
Gold-USD Inverse Relation. Recent Exceptions to the Inverse Rule. Using
Gold to Identify Currency Leaders and Laggards. Gold's Secular
Performance. Valuing Currencies via Gold. Golden Correlations. Don't Forget
Falling Gold Production. Gold and Equities: Hard versus Monetary Assets.
Equity-to-Gold Ratios. The Role of the Speculators. Gold is Part of a
Larger Story. Chapter 2: Oil Fundamentals in the Currency Market. From a
Gold Standard to an Oil Standard (1970s-1980s). Oil Glut and Price Collapse
(1981-1986). The Super Dollar of 1980-1984: World's Third Oil Shock. World
Intervenes against Strong Dollar (1985-1987). Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait and
the Gulf War (1990-1991). The Asian Crisis and OPEC's Miscalculation
(1997-1998). Oil Thrives on World Growth, Dot-Com Boom (1999-2000). Iraq
War Fuels Oil Rally, Dollar Flounders, China Takes Over (2002-Present).
Summary. Chapter 3: When the Dollar Was King (1999-2001). The Major
Theories. Annual Performance Analysis of Individual Currencies. Summary.
Chapter 4: The Dollar Bear Awakens (2002-2007). 2002: The Beginning of the
Dollar Bear Market. 2003: Dollar Extends Damage, Commodity Currencies Soar.
2004: Global Recovery Boosts Currencies against US Dollar. 2005:
Commodities Soar alongside Dollar, Carry Trades Emerge. 2006: Dollar
Vulnerable as Fed Ends Two-Year Tightening. 2007: Record Oil Boosts Loonie,
Helpless Fed Hits Greenback. Lessons Learned. Chapter 5: Risk Appetite in
the Markets. Carry Trades in Foreign Exchange. Using Risk Appetite to Gauge
FX Flows. Tying It All Together: 1999-2007. Chapter 6: Reading the Fed via
Yield Curves, Equities and Commodities. Yield Curves and the Economy. Types
of Yield Curves. Rationale of Inverted Yield Curve Implications.
Effectiveness of Yield Curve Signals' Implications. Greenspan's
â??Conundrumâ?? Proved Bernanke's Problem. Implications for Growth, Stocks,
and Currencies. Tying Interest Rates to the Gold-Oil Ratio. Conclusion.
Chapter 7: U.S. Imbalances, FX Reserve Diversification and the U.S. Dollar.
The U.S. Twin Deficits. U.S. Current Account Deficit: Old Problem, New
Challenges. Adding the Budget Balance to the Mix. Financing the Deficits:
The Path to Unsustainability? Dissecting U.S.-Bound Foreign Capital Flows.
U.S. Stocks and Bonds Vie for Foreign Money. Capital Flows Shift
Identities. Foreign Direct Investment and M&As. How Long Foreign Capital Be
Available on the Cheap? Don't Ignore U.S. Investors' Flows Abroad. Currency
Reserve Diversification: OPEC and the Middle East. Further Currency
Diversification Is Inevitable. The View Ahead. Chapter 8: Commodities
Supercycles and Currencies. The Current Commodity Cycle versus Previous
Cycles. Dissecting Commodity Classes. Commodities and their Currencies.
Developing World to Maintain Ripe Outlook for Food and Grains. Energy
Efficiency Not Enough to Halt High Oil. Copper and Gold to Shine on
Long-Term Fundamentals. Commanding Heights or Common Bubbles? Chapter 9:
Selected Topics in Foreign Exchange. Revisiting Yield Curves. Is Dollar
Stability a Necessity? How Far Will Commodities Outstrip Equities? U.S.
Politics and the U.S. Dollar. Bibliography. About the Author. Index.
Foreword. Preface. Acknowledgments. Chapter 1: Gold and the Dollar. End of
Bretton Woods System Marks Gold's Takeoff. Fed Tightening and FX
Interventions Rein in Gold Rally. Central Banks' Gold Sale Agreements.
Gold-USD Inverse Relation. Recent Exceptions to the Inverse Rule. Using
Gold to Identify Currency Leaders and Laggards. Gold's Secular
Performance. Valuing Currencies via Gold. Golden Correlations. Don't Forget
Falling Gold Production. Gold and Equities: Hard versus Monetary Assets.
Equity-to-Gold Ratios. The Role of the Speculators. Gold is Part of a
Larger Story. Chapter 2: Oil Fundamentals in the Currency Market. From a
Gold Standard to an Oil Standard (1970s-1980s). Oil Glut and Price Collapse
(1981-1986). The Super Dollar of 1980-1984: World's Third Oil Shock. World
Intervenes against Strong Dollar (1985-1987). Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait and
the Gulf War (1990-1991). The Asian Crisis and OPEC's Miscalculation
(1997-1998). Oil Thrives on World Growth, Dot-Com Boom (1999-2000). Iraq
War Fuels Oil Rally, Dollar Flounders, China Takes Over (2002-Present).
Summary. Chapter 3: When the Dollar Was King (1999-2001). The Major
Theories. Annual Performance Analysis of Individual Currencies. Summary.
Chapter 4: The Dollar Bear Awakens (2002-2007). 2002: The Beginning of the
Dollar Bear Market. 2003: Dollar Extends Damage, Commodity Currencies Soar.
2004: Global Recovery Boosts Currencies against US Dollar. 2005:
Commodities Soar alongside Dollar, Carry Trades Emerge. 2006: Dollar
Vulnerable as Fed Ends Two-Year Tightening. 2007: Record Oil Boosts Loonie,
Helpless Fed Hits Greenback. Lessons Learned. Chapter 5: Risk Appetite in
the Markets. Carry Trades in Foreign Exchange. Using Risk Appetite to Gauge
FX Flows. Tying It All Together: 1999-2007. Chapter 6: Reading the Fed via
Yield Curves, Equities and Commodities. Yield Curves and the Economy. Types
of Yield Curves. Rationale of Inverted Yield Curve Implications.
Effectiveness of Yield Curve Signals' Implications. Greenspan's
â??Conundrumâ?? Proved Bernanke's Problem. Implications for Growth, Stocks,
and Currencies. Tying Interest Rates to the Gold-Oil Ratio. Conclusion.
Chapter 7: U.S. Imbalances, FX Reserve Diversification and the U.S. Dollar.
The U.S. Twin Deficits. U.S. Current Account Deficit: Old Problem, New
Challenges. Adding the Budget Balance to the Mix. Financing the Deficits:
The Path to Unsustainability? Dissecting U.S.-Bound Foreign Capital Flows.
U.S. Stocks and Bonds Vie for Foreign Money. Capital Flows Shift
Identities. Foreign Direct Investment and M&As. How Long Foreign Capital Be
Available on the Cheap? Don't Ignore U.S. Investors' Flows Abroad. Currency
Reserve Diversification: OPEC and the Middle East. Further Currency
Diversification Is Inevitable. The View Ahead. Chapter 8: Commodities
Supercycles and Currencies. The Current Commodity Cycle versus Previous
Cycles. Dissecting Commodity Classes. Commodities and their Currencies.
Developing World to Maintain Ripe Outlook for Food and Grains. Energy
Efficiency Not Enough to Halt High Oil. Copper and Gold to Shine on
Long-Term Fundamentals. Commanding Heights or Common Bubbles? Chapter 9:
Selected Topics in Foreign Exchange. Revisiting Yield Curves. Is Dollar
Stability a Necessity? How Far Will Commodities Outstrip Equities? U.S.
Politics and the U.S. Dollar. Bibliography. About the Author. Index.
Bretton Woods System Marks Gold's Takeoff. Fed Tightening and FX
Interventions Rein in Gold Rally. Central Banks' Gold Sale Agreements.
Gold-USD Inverse Relation. Recent Exceptions to the Inverse Rule. Using
Gold to Identify Currency Leaders and Laggards. Gold's Secular
Performance. Valuing Currencies via Gold. Golden Correlations. Don't Forget
Falling Gold Production. Gold and Equities: Hard versus Monetary Assets.
Equity-to-Gold Ratios. The Role of the Speculators. Gold is Part of a
Larger Story. Chapter 2: Oil Fundamentals in the Currency Market. From a
Gold Standard to an Oil Standard (1970s-1980s). Oil Glut and Price Collapse
(1981-1986). The Super Dollar of 1980-1984: World's Third Oil Shock. World
Intervenes against Strong Dollar (1985-1987). Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait and
the Gulf War (1990-1991). The Asian Crisis and OPEC's Miscalculation
(1997-1998). Oil Thrives on World Growth, Dot-Com Boom (1999-2000). Iraq
War Fuels Oil Rally, Dollar Flounders, China Takes Over (2002-Present).
Summary. Chapter 3: When the Dollar Was King (1999-2001). The Major
Theories. Annual Performance Analysis of Individual Currencies. Summary.
Chapter 4: The Dollar Bear Awakens (2002-2007). 2002: The Beginning of the
Dollar Bear Market. 2003: Dollar Extends Damage, Commodity Currencies Soar.
2004: Global Recovery Boosts Currencies against US Dollar. 2005:
Commodities Soar alongside Dollar, Carry Trades Emerge. 2006: Dollar
Vulnerable as Fed Ends Two-Year Tightening. 2007: Record Oil Boosts Loonie,
Helpless Fed Hits Greenback. Lessons Learned. Chapter 5: Risk Appetite in
the Markets. Carry Trades in Foreign Exchange. Using Risk Appetite to Gauge
FX Flows. Tying It All Together: 1999-2007. Chapter 6: Reading the Fed via
Yield Curves, Equities and Commodities. Yield Curves and the Economy. Types
of Yield Curves. Rationale of Inverted Yield Curve Implications.
Effectiveness of Yield Curve Signals' Implications. Greenspan's
â??Conundrumâ?? Proved Bernanke's Problem. Implications for Growth, Stocks,
and Currencies. Tying Interest Rates to the Gold-Oil Ratio. Conclusion.
Chapter 7: U.S. Imbalances, FX Reserve Diversification and the U.S. Dollar.
The U.S. Twin Deficits. U.S. Current Account Deficit: Old Problem, New
Challenges. Adding the Budget Balance to the Mix. Financing the Deficits:
The Path to Unsustainability? Dissecting U.S.-Bound Foreign Capital Flows.
U.S. Stocks and Bonds Vie for Foreign Money. Capital Flows Shift
Identities. Foreign Direct Investment and M&As. How Long Foreign Capital Be
Available on the Cheap? Don't Ignore U.S. Investors' Flows Abroad. Currency
Reserve Diversification: OPEC and the Middle East. Further Currency
Diversification Is Inevitable. The View Ahead. Chapter 8: Commodities
Supercycles and Currencies. The Current Commodity Cycle versus Previous
Cycles. Dissecting Commodity Classes. Commodities and their Currencies.
Developing World to Maintain Ripe Outlook for Food and Grains. Energy
Efficiency Not Enough to Halt High Oil. Copper and Gold to Shine on
Long-Term Fundamentals. Commanding Heights or Common Bubbles? Chapter 9:
Selected Topics in Foreign Exchange. Revisiting Yield Curves. Is Dollar
Stability a Necessity? How Far Will Commodities Outstrip Equities? U.S.
Politics and the U.S. Dollar. Bibliography. About the Author. Index.