The Warming Papers (eBook, ePUB)

The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
Redaktion: Archer, David; Pierrehumbert, Ray

• Format: ePub

Produktbeschreibung

Chosen for the 2011 ASLI Choice - Honorable Mention (History Category) for a compendium of the key scientific papers that undergird the global warming forecast. Global warming is arguably the defining scientific issue of modern times, but it is not widely appreciated that the foundations of our understanding were laid almost two centuries ago with the postulation of a greenhouse effect by Fourier in 1827. The sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric CO2 was first estimated about one century ago, and the rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration was discovered half a century ago. The fundamentals of the science underlying the forecast for human-induced climate change were being published and debated long before the issue rose to public prominence in the last few decades. The Warming Papers is a compendium of the classic scientific papers that constitute the foundation of the global warming forecast. The paper trail ranges from Fourier and Arrhenius in the 19th Century to Manabe and Hansen in modern times. Archer and Pierrehumbert provide introductions and commentary which places the papers in their context and provide students with tools to develop and extend their understanding of the subject. The book captures the excitement and the uncertainty that always exist at the cutting edge of research, and is invaluable reading for students of climate science, scientists, historians of science, and others interested in climate change.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
• Seitenzahl: 432
• Erscheinungstermin: 29. April 2013
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781118687338
• Artikelnr.: 38401725

Autorenporträt

David Archer is a Professor in Geophysical Sciences, and a fellow of the American Geophysical Union. His research pertains to the global carbon cycle and its relation to Earth's climate in the past and the future. Archer is the author of The Long Thaw: How humans are changing the next 100,000 years of Earth's climate (Princeton University Press, 2008), an undergraduate text book called Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast (Blackwell, 2006), and a summary guide to the IPCC Fourth Scientific Assessment Report called The Climate Crisis (Cambridge University Press, 2009). Ray Pierrehumbert is the Louis Block Professor in Geophysical Sciences, a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union, and was named Chevalier de l'Ordre des Palmes Academiques by the Republic of France. Pierrehumbert studies the physics of climate, especially regarding the long-term evolution of the climates of Earth, Mars.Venus, Titan and extrasolar planets. Pierrehumbert was an author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Third Assessment Report (1997-2001), and a member of the National Research Council's Panel on Abrupt Climate Change and its Societal Impacts (2000-2001), and is currently serving on the National Research Council Board on Atmospheric Science and Climate, and the National Research Council Panel on CO2 Stabilization Targets.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface. Part 1 Climate Physics. The Greenhouse Effect. On the Temperatures
of the Terrestrial Sphere and Interplanetary Space Jean-Baptiste Joseph
Fourier (1824). Wagging the Dog. On the Absorption and radiation of Heat by
Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connexion of Radiation, Absorption,
and Conduction John Tyndall (1861). By the Light of the Silvery Moon. On
the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature on the
Ground Svante Arrhenius (1896). Radiative Transfer. The Influence of the
151/4 Carban-Dioxide Band on the Atmospheric Infra-red Cooling Rate G. N.
Plaas (1956). The Balance of Energy. Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere
with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity Syukuro Manabe and Richard
T. Wetherald (1967). The Effect of Solar Radiation Variations on the
Climate of the Earth M. I. Budyko (1968). A Global Climatic Model Based on
the Energy Balance of the Earth-Atmosphere System William D. Sellers
(1968). The Birth of the General Circulation Model. The Effects of Doubling
the CO2 Concentration on the Climate of a General Circulation Model Syukuro
Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald (1975). Climate Sensitivity: Analysis of
Feedback Mechanisms J. Hansen, I. Fung, A. Lacis, J. Lerner, D. Rind, R.
Ruedy, G. Russell and P. Stone, (1984). Aerosols. Climate Responnse to
Increasing Levels of Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols J. F. B.
Mitchell, T. C. Johns, J. M. Gregory and S. F. B. Tett (1995). Ocean Heat
and Committed Warming. Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation and
Implications James Hansen, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato, Josh
Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Lacis, Ken Lo, Surabi
Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Periwitz, Gary Russell, Gavin A. Schmidt and
Nicholas Tausnev (2005). Taking Earth's Temperature. Global Temperature
Variations Between 1861 and 1984 P. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley and P. B.
Wright (1986). Contribution to Stratospheric Cooling to Satellite-Inferred
Troposphoric Temperature Trends Qiang Fu, Celeste M. Johanson, Stephen G.
Warren and Dian J. Seidel (2004). Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During
the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertanties, and Limitations Michael E.
Mann, Raymond Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes (1999). Ice Sheets and Sea
Level. Surface Melt-Induced Acceleration of Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow H. Jay
Zwally, Waleed Abdalati, Tom Herring, Kristine Larson, Jack Saba and Konrad
Steffen (2002). The Public Statement. Man-Made Carbon Dioxide and the
'Greenhouse' Effect J. S. Sawyer (1972). Carbon Dioxide and Climate: A
Scientific Assessment Jule G. Charney, Akio Arakawa, D. James Baker, Bert
Bolin, Robert E. Dickinson, Richard M. Goody, Cecil E. Leith, Henry M.
Stommel and Carl I. Wunsch (1979). PART 2 Carbon Cycle. The Sky is Rising.
The Artificial Production of Carbon Dioxide and its Influence on
Temperature G. S. Callendar (1938). Denial and Acceptance. Carbon Dioxide
Exchange Between Atmosphere and Ocean and the Question of an Increase of
Atmospheric CO2 During the Past Decades Roger Revelle and Hans E. Suess
(1957). Distribution of Matter in the Sea and Atmosphere: Changes in the
Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmoshere and Sea due to Fossil Fuel
Combustion Bert Bolin and Erik Eriksson (1958). Bookends. The Concentration
and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmoshpere C. D. Keeling
(1960). Is Carbon Dioxide from Fossil Fuel Changing Man's Environment?
Charles D. Keeling (1970). One if by Land. Changes of Land Biota and Their
Importance for the Carbon Cycle Bert Bolin (1977). Observational
Constraints on the Global Atmospheric CO2 Budget Pieter P. Tans, Inez Y.
Fung and Taro Takahashi (1990). Acceleration of Global Warming due to
Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled Climate Model Peter M. Cox, Richard A.
Betts, Chris D. Jones, Steven A. Spall and Ian J. Totterdell (2000). Two if
by Sea. Neutralization of Fossil Fuel CO2 by Marine Calcium Carbonate W. S.
Broecker and T. Takahashi (1977). Effects of Fuel and Forest Conservation
on Future Levels of atmospheric Carbon Dioxide James C. G. Walker and James
F. Kasting (1992). Abrupt Deep-Seas Warming, Palaeoceanographic Changes and
Benthic Extinctions at the End of the Palaeocene J. P. Kennett and L. D.
Stott (1991). Ocean pH. Anthropogenic Carbon and Ocean pH Ken Caldeira and
Michael E. Wickett (2003). Reduced Calcification of Marine Plankton in
Response to Increased Atmospheric CO2Ulf Riebesell, Ingrid Zondervan, Bjorn
Rost, Phillippe D. Tortell, Richard E. Zeebe and Francois M. M. Morel
(2000). Tiny Bubbles. Evidence From Polar Ice Cores for the Increase in
Atmospheric CO2 in the Past Two Centuries A Neftel, E. Moor, H. Oeschger
and B. Stauffer (1985). Vostok Ice Core Provides 160,000-Year record of
Atmospheric CO2J. M. Barnola, D. Raynaud, Y. S. Korotkevich and C. Lorius
(1987). Index.