Michael Brecher
A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System
Theory and Evidence: Intellectual Odyssey III
Michael Brecher
A Century of Crisis and Conflict in the International System
Theory and Evidence: Intellectual Odyssey III
- Broschiertes Buch
- Merkliste
- Auf die Merkliste
- Bewerten Bewerten
- Teilen
- Produkt teilen
- Produkterinnerung
- Produkterinnerung
This book is designed to present a fully developed theory of international crisis and conflict, along with substantial evidence of these two closely related phenomena. The book begins with a discussion of these topics at a theoretical level, defining and elaborating on core concepts: international crisis, interstate conflict, severity, and impact. This is followed by a discussion of the international system, along with two significant illustrations, the Berlin Blockade crisis (1948) and the India-Pakistan crisis over Kashmir (1965-66). The book then presents a unified model of crisis, focusing…mehr
Andere Kunden interessierten sich auch für
- Kurt JacobsenInternational Politics and Inner Worlds19,99 €
- Jo-Anne PembertonThe Story of International Relations, Part Three37,99 €
- Jo-Anne PembertonThe Story of International Relations, Part Three37,99 €
- Shadia B. DruryThe Bleak Political Implications of Socratic Religion19,99 €
- Jo-Anne PembertonThe Story of International Relations, Part Two66,99 €
- Jo-Anne PembertonThe Story of International Relations, Part Two66,99 €
- Complexity Thinking for Peacebuilding Practice and Evaluation63,99 €
-
-
-
This book is designed to present a fully developed theory of international crisis and conflict, along with substantial evidence of these two closely related phenomena. The book begins with a discussion of these topics at a theoretical level, defining and elaborating on core concepts: international crisis, interstate conflict, severity, and impact. This is followed by a discussion of the international system, along with two significant illustrations, the Berlin Blockade crisis (1948) and the India-Pakistan crisis over Kashmir (1965-66). The book then presents a unified model of crisis, focusing on the four phases of an international crisis, which incorporate the four periods of foreign policy crises for individual states. Findings from thirteen conflicts representing six regional clusters are then analyzed, concluding with a set of hypotheses and evidence on conflict onset, persistence, and resolution.
Produktdetails
- Produktdetails
- Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan / Springer International Publishing / Springer, Berlin
- Artikelnr. des Verlages: 978-3-319-86090-9
- Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018
- Seitenzahl: 432
- Erscheinungstermin: 4. August 2018
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 210mm x 148mm x 24mm
- Gewicht: 556g
- ISBN-13: 9783319860909
- ISBN-10: 3319860909
- Artikelnr.: 54893664
- Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan / Springer International Publishing / Springer, Berlin
- Artikelnr. des Verlages: 978-3-319-86090-9
- Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018
- Seitenzahl: 432
- Erscheinungstermin: 4. August 2018
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 210mm x 148mm x 24mm
- Gewicht: 556g
- ISBN-13: 9783319860909
- ISBN-10: 3319860909
- Artikelnr.: 54893664
Michael Brecher is the R.B. Angus Professor of Political Science at McGill University, Canada.
1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge
A.INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEWOrigins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies - Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B.MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICTAdvocates and CriticsRationaleDiversity in International Studies
C.INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and ThemesPolitical Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I)Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II)Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State SystemForeign Policy SystemInternational SystemForeign Policy CrisisInternational CrisisUnified Model of CrisisCrisis SeverityCrisis ImpactProtracted ConflictPolycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A.CORE CONCEPTSInternational Crisis and Protracted ConflictSeverity and Impact
B.SYSTEM AND CRISISInternational SystemSystemic CrisisBerlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A.UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISISConceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-EscalationImpact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B.CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURERecent Additions to Crisis-Conflict ProjectOverview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 CasesContext DimensionsMethodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved DebateGeneral Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, AlternativesFindings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism UnipolycentrismCoping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation - Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining ActsPerceptual CalculusCatalystHypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A.AFRICAChad/Libya Ethiopia/SomaliaWestern Sahara
B.AMERICASCosta Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A.EUROPEFinland/Russia-USSRPoland/Russia-USSR
B.MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSRInter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A.SHORTCOMINGSIntolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind MentalityTendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WPLow Value placed on Cumulation of KnowledgeB.FLAWED DICHOTOMIESTheory vs. History as Approaches to KnowledgeDeductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large 'N' vs. Small 'N' clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C.FINAL WORDS
A.INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEWOrigins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies - Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B.MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICTAdvocates and CriticsRationaleDiversity in International Studies
C.INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and ThemesPolitical Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I)Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II)Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State SystemForeign Policy SystemInternational SystemForeign Policy CrisisInternational CrisisUnified Model of CrisisCrisis SeverityCrisis ImpactProtracted ConflictPolycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A.CORE CONCEPTSInternational Crisis and Protracted ConflictSeverity and Impact
B.SYSTEM AND CRISISInternational SystemSystemic CrisisBerlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A.UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISISConceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-EscalationImpact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B.CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURERecent Additions to Crisis-Conflict ProjectOverview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 CasesContext DimensionsMethodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved DebateGeneral Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, AlternativesFindings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism UnipolycentrismCoping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation - Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining ActsPerceptual CalculusCatalystHypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A.AFRICAChad/Libya Ethiopia/SomaliaWestern Sahara
B.AMERICASCosta Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A.EUROPEFinland/Russia-USSRPoland/Russia-USSR
B.MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSRInter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A.SHORTCOMINGSIntolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind MentalityTendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WPLow Value placed on Cumulation of KnowledgeB.FLAWED DICHOTOMIESTheory vs. History as Approaches to KnowledgeDeductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large 'N' vs. Small 'N' clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C.FINAL WORDS
1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge
A. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW Origins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT Advocates and Critics Rationale Diversity in International Studies
C. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A. CORE CONCEPTS International Crisis and Protracted Conflict Severity and Impact
B. SYSTEM AND CRISIS International System Systemic Crisis Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49 India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66 Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS Conceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project Overview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 Cases Context Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives Findings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism Unipolycentrism Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts Perceptual Calculus Catalyst Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A. AFRICA Chad/Libya Ethiopia/Somalia Western Sahara
B. AMERICAS Costa Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A. EUROPE Finland/Russia-USSR Poland/Russia-USSR
B. MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSR Inter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A. SHORTCOMINGS Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind Mentality Tendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WP Low Value placed on Cumulation of Knowledge B. FLAWED DICHOTOMIES Theory vs. History as Approaches to Knowledge Deductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C. FINAL WORDS
A. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW Origins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT Advocates and Critics Rationale Diversity in International Studies
C. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A. CORE CONCEPTS International Crisis and Protracted Conflict Severity and Impact
B. SYSTEM AND CRISIS International System Systemic Crisis Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49 India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66 Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS Conceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project Overview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 Cases Context Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives Findings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism Unipolycentrism Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts Perceptual Calculus Catalyst Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A. AFRICA Chad/Libya Ethiopia/Somalia Western Sahara
B. AMERICAS Costa Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A. EUROPE Finland/Russia-USSR Poland/Russia-USSR
B. MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSR Inter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A. SHORTCOMINGS Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind Mentality Tendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WP Low Value placed on Cumulation of Knowledge B. FLAWED DICHOTOMIES Theory vs. History as Approaches to Knowledge Deductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C. FINAL WORDS
1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge
A.INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEWOrigins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies - Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B.MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICTAdvocates and CriticsRationaleDiversity in International Studies
C.INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and ThemesPolitical Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I)Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II)Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State SystemForeign Policy SystemInternational SystemForeign Policy CrisisInternational CrisisUnified Model of CrisisCrisis SeverityCrisis ImpactProtracted ConflictPolycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A.CORE CONCEPTSInternational Crisis and Protracted ConflictSeverity and Impact
B.SYSTEM AND CRISISInternational SystemSystemic CrisisBerlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A.UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISISConceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-EscalationImpact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B.CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURERecent Additions to Crisis-Conflict ProjectOverview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 CasesContext DimensionsMethodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved DebateGeneral Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, AlternativesFindings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism UnipolycentrismCoping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation - Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining ActsPerceptual CalculusCatalystHypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A.AFRICAChad/Libya Ethiopia/SomaliaWestern Sahara
B.AMERICASCosta Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A.EUROPEFinland/Russia-USSRPoland/Russia-USSR
B.MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSRInter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A.SHORTCOMINGSIntolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind MentalityTendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WPLow Value placed on Cumulation of KnowledgeB.FLAWED DICHOTOMIESTheory vs. History as Approaches to KnowledgeDeductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large 'N' vs. Small 'N' clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C.FINAL WORDS
A.INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEWOrigins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies - Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B.MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICTAdvocates and CriticsRationaleDiversity in International Studies
C.INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and ThemesPolitical Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I)Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II)Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State SystemForeign Policy SystemInternational SystemForeign Policy CrisisInternational CrisisUnified Model of CrisisCrisis SeverityCrisis ImpactProtracted ConflictPolycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A.CORE CONCEPTSInternational Crisis and Protracted ConflictSeverity and Impact
B.SYSTEM AND CRISISInternational SystemSystemic CrisisBerlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A.UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISISConceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-EscalationImpact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B.CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURERecent Additions to Crisis-Conflict ProjectOverview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 CasesContext DimensionsMethodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved DebateGeneral Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, AlternativesFindings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism UnipolycentrismCoping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation - Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining ActsPerceptual CalculusCatalystHypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A.AFRICAChad/Libya Ethiopia/SomaliaWestern Sahara
B.AMERICASCosta Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A.EUROPEFinland/Russia-USSRPoland/Russia-USSR
B.MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSRInter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A.SHORTCOMINGSIntolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind MentalityTendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WPLow Value placed on Cumulation of KnowledgeB.FLAWED DICHOTOMIESTheory vs. History as Approaches to KnowledgeDeductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large 'N' vs. Small 'N' clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C.FINAL WORDS
1. Multiple Paths to Knowledge
A. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW Origins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT Advocates and Critics Rationale Diversity in International Studies
C. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A. CORE CONCEPTS International Crisis and Protracted Conflict Severity and Impact
B. SYSTEM AND CRISIS International System Systemic Crisis Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49 India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66 Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS Conceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project Overview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 Cases Context Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives Findings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism Unipolycentrism Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts Perceptual Calculus Catalyst Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A. AFRICA Chad/Libya Ethiopia/Somalia Western Sahara
B. AMERICAS Costa Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A. EUROPE Finland/Russia-USSR Poland/Russia-USSR
B. MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSR Inter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A. SHORTCOMINGS Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind Mentality Tendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WP Low Value placed on Cumulation of Knowledge B. FLAWED DICHOTOMIES Theory vs. History as Approaches to Knowledge Deductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C. FINAL WORDS
A. INTERNATIONAL CRISIS BEHAVIOR (ICB) PROJECT: OVERVIEW Origins Colleagues, Coders and Advisers Rationale and Methods Objectives Formative Publications (1977-1980) Case Studies – Qualitative Analysis Data Sets and Aggregate Analysis
B. MILLENNIAL REFLECTIONS ON CRISIS AND CONFLICT Advocates and Critics Rationale Diversity in International Studies
C. INTELLECTUAL ODYSSEY: PHASES, THEMES, CONCEPTS Phases and Themes Political Leadership and Charisma (Odyssey I) Dynamics of the Arab/Israel Conflict (Odyssey II) Interstate Crises and Conflicts (Odyssey III) Concepts Subordinate State System Foreign Policy System International System Foreign Policy Crisis International Crisis Unified Model of Crisis Crisis Severity Crisis Impact Protracted Conflict Polycentrism
2. Theory I: Core Concepts and Systems
A. CORE CONCEPTS International Crisis and Protracted Conflict Severity and Impact
B. SYSTEM AND CRISIS International System Systemic Crisis Berlin Blockade Crisis 1948-49 India/Pakistan Crisis over Kashmir 1965-66 Severity and Impact Unit-System Linkages
3. Theory II: Unified Model of Crisis (UMC) and the ICB Framework
A. UNIFIED MODEL OF CRISIS Conceptual Guidelines: Overview Onset Phase--Pre-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Onset; Crisis Onset Model Escalation Phase--Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Escalation De-Escalation Phase--End Crisis Period: Hypotheses on De-Escalation Impact Phase--Post-Crisis Period: Hypotheses on Impact
B. CHANGES IN ICB STRUCTURE Recent Additions to Crisis-Conflict Project Overview of Findings
4. General Findings: Foreign Policy Crises
Dataset: 29 Cases Context Dimensions Methodology in Case Studies: An Unresolved Debate General Findings on Attributes of Foreign Policy Crises: Trigger Triggering Entity Duration Decisions Decision-Makers Attitudinal Prism Values Findings on Coping: Crisis Management Information Processing Consultation Decisional Forum Search for, and Consideration of, Alternatives Findings on System Structures Multipolarity Bipolarity Bipolycentrism Unipolycentrism Coping with Foreign Policy Crises: New Evidence Confronts Conventional Wisdom Hypotheses on Effects of Time and Impact of Stress Cognitive Dimension Decisional Dimension Shared Response to Stress Explanation – Commonality in Coping with High Stress Stress-Behavior Relationship: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises Test of Neo-Realism: Evidence from 29 Foreign Policy Crises
5. Theory III: Interstate Conflicts
Conflict Resolution Model Basic Causes of Conflict Resolution Collective Exhaustion Changes in Balance of Capability Domestic Pressures for Conflict Resolution External Pressures for Conflict Resolution Reduction in Discordant Objectives Reduction in Conflict-Sustaining Acts Perceptual Calculus Catalyst Hypotheses on Conflict Resolution
6. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Africa and Americas
A. AFRICA Chad/Libya Ethiopia/Somalia Western Sahara
B. AMERICAS Costa Rica/Nicaragua
7. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Asia
Afghanistan/Pakistan China/Vietnam
8. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Europe and the Middle East
A. EUROPE Finland/Russia-USSR Poland/Russia-USSR
B. MIDDLE EAST Iran/Iraq
9. Select Case Study Findings on Interstate Conflict: Inter-Region
Georgia/Russia-USSR Inter-Korea North Vietnam/U.S. Taiwan Strait
10. What Have We Learned about Interstate Conflict?
Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Onset Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Persistence Hypotheses and Evidence on Conflict Resolution
11. Critique of International Studies
A. SHORTCOMINGS Intolerance of Competing Paradigms, Models, Methods, Findings Closed-Mind Mentality Tendency to Research Fashions Retreat from Science in IR, IS, WP Low Value placed on Cumulation of Knowledge B. FLAWED DICHOTOMIES Theory vs. History as Approaches to Knowledge Deductive vs. Inductive Paths to Theory Horizontal (breadth) vs. Vertical (depth) Focus of Inquiry Aggregate Data vs. Case Study Methods of Analysis Large ‘N’ vs. Small ‘N’ clusters of data System vs. Actor as the optimal Level of Analysis Rational Calculus vs. Psychological Constraints on choice and the related divide (Reality vs. Perceptions as key to explain state behavior) Neo-Realism vs. Neo-Institutionalism or Constructivism as the correct Paradigm for the Study of World Politics
C. FINAL WORDS