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Supertrends 50 Things you Need to Know About the Future

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Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Erscheinungsdatum

03.02.2020

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

304

Maße (L/B/H)

21,6/14,1/1,9 cm

Gewicht

382 g

Auflage

1. Auflage

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-64683-9

Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Erscheinungsdatum

03.02.2020

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

304

Maße (L/B/H)

21,6/14,1/1,9 cm

Gewicht

382 g

Auflage

1. Auflage

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-64683-9

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  • Produktbild: Supertrends
  • About Sources and Contributors xi

    1. Feeler, Thinker, Hedgehog, Fox - On Predictions 1

    Are you a feeler or a thinker? 2

    Hedgehogs and foxes - which are best at seeing the future? 7

    No! As in never! 7

    Our knowledge at double speed 14

    The creative design field 21

    The world's a much better place than people think 26

    2. Demography and Prosperity 33

    The West versus the rest 35

    Population growth is actually decreasing rapidly 37

    Huge growth in prosperity continues 41

    A massive elderly boom 44

    Depopulation of rural areas 45

    Increased global equality and local inequality - but will this continue? 45

    A more peaceful world 49

    The lost billion people - the world's biggest problem? 51

    3. The Biotechnological Revolution - Life as Computer Technology 53

    CRISPR - the new genetic word processing 56

    New genetically engineered species 60

    Recreation of extinct species - the real Jurassic Park 60

    Tomorrow's genetically modified humans 66

    A healthier, safer world 69

    Revolutions in the fight against cancer 70

    New cells for old lives 74

    Wearables, self-diagnoses, biohacking, and lifestyle medicine 77

    The intelligent healthcare of the future 79

    4. Computers, Software, and Electronic Networks 81

    From exceptional to magical 83

    Bell's Law of new computer classes 86

    Cloud computing and the as-a-service movement 88

    AI - the career cul-de-sac that suddenly got hot 89

    IoT - nerve fibres for the mechanical world 95

    Big data = big deal 99

    Smart robots - the new ecosystem 103

    Smart remote control - the magic wands of reality 107

    Quantum computers - billions of times faster 108

    VR - dream worlds for real 111

    AR - Pokémon GO on steroids 111

    Ambient user experience - the frictionless total experiences 113

    Cyberattack - crime-as-a-service and lots more besides 114

    The new stalker economy 115

    5. The Path to Infinite Energy 119

    Fossil fuels - the culmination is approaching 120

    Vast, constantly growing reserves 122

    Nuclear power - a renaissance on the way? 128

    Nuclear fusion - the ultimate energy solution 132

    6. The Importance of Innovation for Resources and Environment 139

    Innovation, dear friends. Innovation! 142

    Ideas - the ultimate resource 146

    Meat produced without animals 156

    Greater prosperity, better environment 161

    Global warming in perspective 163

    The world is actually getting greener 172

    The sixth mass extinction? 173

    7. New Networks and Decentralised Technologies 177

    Geosocialisation. Who - and where! - you are 178

    The e-commerce revolution - far from over 179

    Influencer marketing 182

    The wild decentralised autonomous organisations 182

    Blockchain - the Internet of Value 184

    The rating economy - good for markets and culture 188

    The global village and its new cyber rock stars 190

    Share, care, and save (sharing economy) - hot, hot, hot 191

    Exponential organisations: big money! 194

    8. The Transport, Houses, and Cities of the Future 197

    The transport of the future - faster and more flexible 198

    Innovation in the construction sector 205

    Tomorrow's jet-set nomads 209

    9. The New Lifestyles - Experiences and Self-realisation 213

    The experience economy - all the world becomes a stage 214

    The changeable idea of prestige 218

    Self-realisation - the service in which you are the product 219

    Innovation and entrepreneurship - self-realisation that gets cheaper 221

    Do-it-yourself and maker movements - working for fun 221

    The human cloud - total transformation of the labour market 224

    More backsourcing 228

    Bespoke media 229

    Multi-identities are more acceptable 230

    Intelligence amplification - better, more flexible education 231

    10. Business Management in a More Dynamic World 235

    Impulsive organisations 235

    Conformist organisations 236

    Achievement organisations 237

    Pluralist organisations 238

    Evolutionary organisations 238

    New technologies create new forms of management 240

    The new information paradigm: seek-sense-share 241

    What should be kept permanent and what should be done flexibly? 242

    Delegation - activate the staff 243

    Involvement - make use of your meta-organisation 244

    Inclusion: mobilise the whole world for your project 245

    Algorithm-based management versus human management 246

    11. The Political Implications of Tomorrow's Technologies 249

    Three social standard patterns that often undermine civilisations 250

    The future welfare society - pyramid states or agile app stores? 256

    The battle for top-down management and decentralisation 261

    Openness or closedness? 263

    The information problem in public management 264

    Government as a platform: small government - big services 268

    The growing attraction of basic income 269

    Value-based public management - good or bad? 270

    12. The Final Rule 273

    Appendix: Sources and Inspiration 279

    Bibliography 281

    Index 283