Produktbild: Probably Not

Probably Not Future Prediction Using Probability and Statistical Inference

109,99 €

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Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Erscheinungsdatum

29.07.2019

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

352

Maße (L/B/H)

22,9/15,5/1,8 cm

Gewicht

590 g

Auflage

2nd edition

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-51810-5

Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Erscheinungsdatum

29.07.2019

Verlag

John Wiley & Sons

Seitenzahl

352

Maße (L/B/H)

22,9/15,5/1,8 cm

Gewicht

590 g

Auflage

2nd edition

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-119-51810-5

Herstelleradresse

Libri GmbH
Europaallee 1
36244 Bad Hersfeld
DE

Email: gpsr@libri.de

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  • Produktbild: Probably Not
  • Acknowledgments
     
    About The Companion Site
     
    Introduction
     
    1 An Introduction to Probability
     
    Predicting The Future
     
    Rule Making
     
    Random Events and Probability
     
    The Lottery
     
    Coin Flipping
     
    The Coin Flip Strategy That Can't Lose
     
    The Prize Behind The Door
     
    The Checker Board
     
    Comments
     
    Problems
     
    2 Probability Distribution Functions and Some Math Basics
     
    The Probability Distribution Function
     
    Averages and Weighted Averages
     
    Expected Values
     
    The Basic Coin Flip Game
     
    PDF Symmetry
     
    Standard Deviation
     
    Cumulative Distribution Function
     
    The Confidence Interval
     
    Final Points
     
    Rehash and Histograms
     
    Problems
     
    3 Building A Bell
     
    Problems
     
    4 Random Walks
     
    The One-Dimensional Random Walk
     
    Some Subsequent Calculations
     
    Diffusion
     
    Problems
     
    5 Life Insurance
     
    Introduction
     
    Life Insurance
     
    Insurance As Gambling
     
    Life Tables
     
    Birth Rates and Population Stability
     
    Life Tables, Again
     
    Premiums
     
    Social Security - Sooner Or Later?
     
    Problems
     
    6 The Binomial Theorem
     
    Introduction
     
    The Binomial Probability Formula
     
    Permutations and Combinations
     
    Large Number Approximations
     
    The Poisson Distribution
     
    Disease Clusters
     
    Clusters
     
    Problems
     
    7 Pseudorandom Numbers and Monte -Carlo Simulations
     
    Random Numbers and Simulations
     
    Pseudo-Random Numbers
     
    The Middle Square PRNG
     
    The Linear Congruential PRNG
     
    A Normal Distribution Generator
     
    An Arbitrary Distribution Generator
     
    Monte Carlo Simulations
     
    A League of Our Own
     
    Discussion
     
    Notes
     
    8 Some Gambling Games In Detail
     
    The Basic Coin Flip Game
     
    The "Ultimate Winning Strategy"
     
    Parimutuel Betting
     
    The Gantt Chart and A Hint of Another Approach
     
    Problems
     
    9 Scheduling and Waiting
     
    Introduction
     
    Scheduling Appointments In The Doctor's Office
     
    Lunch with A Friend
     
    Waiting for A Bus
     
    Problems
     
    10 Combined and Conditional Probabilities
     
    Introduction
     
    Functional Notation (Again)
     
    Conditional Probability
     
    Medical Test Results
     
    The Shared Birthday Problem
     
    Problems
     
    11 Bayesian Statistics
     
    Bayes Theorem
     
    Multiple Possibilities
     
    Will Monty Hall Ever Go Away?
     
    Philosophy
     
    The Prosecutor's Fallacy
     
    Continuous Functions
     
    Credible Intervals
     
    Gantt Charts (Again)
     
    Problems
     
    12 Estimation Problems
     
    The Number of Locomotives Problem
     
    Number of Locomotives, Improved Estimate
     
    Decision Making
     
    The Light House Problem
     
    The Likelihood Function
     
    The Light House Problem II
     
    13 Two Paradoxes
     
    Introduction
     
    Parrondo's Paradox
     
    Another Parrondo Game
     
    The Parrondo Ratchet
     
    Simpson's Paradox
     
    Problems
     
    14 Benford's Law
     
    Introduction
     
    History
     
    The 1/x Distribution
     
    Goodness of Fit Measure
     
    Smith's Analysis
     
    Problems
     
    15 Networks, Infectious Diseases and Chain Letters
     
    Introduction
     
    Degre