The Probabilistic SIR Model (PSIR) in the Pandemic Process (eBook, PDF)
Project Management in Prevention and Support
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With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave...
With all the insights experienced in the COVID process, one essential remains: "The virus remains a constant companion". In contrast to regularly occurring infection processes, a COVID infection takes a different course. This is characterized by a dynamic that deviates from conventional, well-known processes in that the originators change their identity and develop corresponding variants. Therefore, preventive infection management - supported by statistical-probabilistic analyzes with PSIR - is important for preventive management of resources and infrastructure for the "waves ahead of the wave".
Content
- The "infection curve" I(t) is replaced by the skewed, steep Eqb - density function
- Representation of a process management
- Pre-phase planning supported by network planning technology
Target Groups
- Virology, Departments of Health and Human Services
- Statistics Departments
The Author
Marcus Hellwig is a quality manager as qualified by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of specialist books.
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