The Anatomy of an Indian General Election (eBook, ePUB)
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Anatomy of Indian General Elections is the concluding part of Trilogy on 2019 Elections. The first two chartbusters "2019: Will Modi Win?" and "Rafale, Raga, Reuniting Forces for 2019'' drew attention to the risks involved for the incumbent government and the chances for Congress in 2019 by predicting the wins in Assembly Elections in Rajasthan, MP and Chattisgarh. This book is the third and last in trilogy on upcoming 17th Lok Sabha Elections. There are several key events and political developments over previous twelve months which indicate that the race for 2019 will not be a one sided conte...
Anatomy of Indian General Elections is the concluding part of Trilogy on 2019 Elections. The first two chartbusters "2019: Will Modi Win?" and "Rafale, Raga, Reuniting Forces for 2019'' drew attention to the risks involved for the incumbent government and the chances for Congress in 2019 by predicting the wins in Assembly Elections in Rajasthan, MP and Chattisgarh. This book is the third and last in trilogy on upcoming 17th Lok Sabha Elections. There are several key events and political developments over previous twelve months which indicate that the race for 2019 will not be a one sided contest. This is also likely to be one of the most bitterly fought elections in the electoral history of India as there is a high degree of uncertainty on the post-poll political picture which may emerge. But, which are the factors that will influence the electoral verdict in 2019? In this book, we look at the key issues which would determine if Modi would get his second term as the PM of India. Prime Minister, Shri Narendra Modi is one of the most successful and popular politicians India has seen in the recent decades. In Gujarat as Chief Minister, he had won three successive elections in 2002, 2007 and 2012. The President of BJP Amit Shah is one of the most organized and hard working political leaders across political spectrum in over a decade. Together they are known for their meticulous planning and sharp instincts on sensing the public mood, which are the issues they will focus on? BJP is already more aggressive on the popular religious issues. The debate on citizenship bill in North-East, the issue of illegal migrants and entry of Rohingya Muslims from Myanmar and Triple Talaq for Muslim women are prominent examples. There will also be attempt to consolidate Hindu vote in BJP's favor and as we have seen in case of statements of many BJP leaders after Supreme Court decided to postpone verdict in Ram Janmabhoomi case, flurry of name changes like Allahabad to Prayagraj and opposition to Tipu Sultan's birth anniversary celebrations in Karnataka. National security remains a strong emotional issue for masses and more recently, how the suicide attack on CRPF convoy in Pulwama in Jammu & Kashmir on 14th February 2019 and subsequent developments created the war hysteria in India is a clear indication of how these issues could quickly escalate. India's relations with Pakistan and China influence popular opinion. As far as Opposition is concerned, there has neither been a common plan nor a satisfactory explanation for unity among non-NDA parties. It is obvious that they are behind and Opposition has not been able to exploit issues like not so great performance of the economy under non-NDA parties. Through this book, we are trying to share the understanding the process of how people vote. Once the readers understand the process; it is much easier to understand the results. We are making an attempt to understand what will determine the outcome of 2019 Lok Sabha elections. However, this concluding part of the trilogy is not only about the factors which will influence the results in 2019 Elections, it is also about the factors which matter the most for the polls often in our country.
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