Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections (eBook, PDF)

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

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One of the most troubling and dangerous effects of climate warming is the potential for new outbreaks of vector-borne diseases - in humans as well as livestock - that had previously been eradicated, or at least effectively suppressed. One such threat is malaria. Although it is often believed to be restricted to the tropics and developing countries, climate change could bring malaria back to Europe, especially into countries where it was present until the middle of the last century, such as Germany, where Tertian malaria or vivax malaria, a rather severe form of malaria, was prevalent in north-...

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