Marla van Nieuwland
Broschiertes Buch

The Future Of Election Forecasting Using Social Media Based Methods. Prospect or Pitfall?

A Literature Review

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Seminar paper from the year 2015 in the subject Communications - Media and Politics, Politic Communications, grade: 1,0, University of Constance, language: English, abstract: In 2013 Daniel Gayo-Avello captured the state of the art regarding election prediction with social media publishing a meta-analysis, the very first one in this field of study. Concluding after an extensive literature review, that the "prevailing view [among scientists] is overly optimistic", Gayo-Avello declares three major problems, that have to be addressed by future research: 1) The need to produce a true forecast, tha...