The Big Flip, A Deep Dive look at the "Supply Side" of the 2020 Presidential election in Pennsylvania and its Implications
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In the wake of the 2020 Presidential Election, it seems to have become "politically incorrect" to raise questions about election integrity. This is unfortunate, as it is fundamental to our democracy that legitimate concerns about mail-in voting processes or other issues of trust be voiced and debated. This book meticulously documents the extraordinary saga of mail-in voting in Pennsylvania's 2020 Presidential Election, highlighting some worrisome aspects. Though Donald Trump had won this pivotal state in a close contest against Hilary Clinton in 2016, the state flipped back to the Democrats in...
In the wake of the 2020 Presidential Election, it seems to have become "politically incorrect" to raise questions about election integrity. This is unfortunate, as it is fundamental to our democracy that legitimate concerns about mail-in voting processes or other issues of trust be voiced and debated. This book meticulously documents the extraordinary saga of mail-in voting in Pennsylvania's 2020 Presidential Election, highlighting some worrisome aspects. Though Donald Trump had won this pivotal state in a close contest against Hilary Clinton in 2016, the state flipped back to the Democrats in 2020 in an election distinguished by the introduction of no-excuse mail-in voting. Quantitative analysis is a core component of the discussion-a multifaceted exploration of mail-in voting patterns. The quantitative discussion is merged with an examination of contextual and circumstantial details. The kinds of irregularities that "no-excuse" mail-in voting may facilitate are considered as well. The data exploration reveals a remarkable landscape - a poorly illuminated space from which arose odd statistical phenomena - a twilight zone, of sorts. These puzzling phenomena are consistent with hypothetical cyber breach or election misconduct scenarios, although there is no direct evidence of a compromised election. For instance, a surprisingly large percentage of Pennsylvania mail-in ballots requested by and sent to Republican voters for the 2020 election were never returned and tallied. Multiple technical mishaps tied to the state's obsolete and error-prone database management systems made the landscape yet more murky. Sly legal maneuvering (lawfare) by the Democratic party, seeking partisan advantages going into the election, cast an additional shadow over the process. The book concludes with a discussion of what can be done to develop more secure and trustworthy mail-in voting processes. Pennsylvania's experience and the lessons we can draw from it should be of interest to any citizen concerned about election integrity and credibility and ways to bolster these going forward.
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