Structural Time Series Modelling of Crime Rates: the Case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

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Doktorarbeit / Dissertation aus dem Jahr 2012 im Fachbereich Mathematik - Statistik, Hawassa University, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: The basic goal of this study was to model monthly crime rates and the impact of sentence reforms on reported crime in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, over the study period of April 2002 to January 2012 GC by incorporating intervention effects. Monthly data obtained from Addis Ababa Police Commission for a total of 118 months were used. The impact of this legislation on reported crime rates was examined using OLS regression model and time series approaches. In particular, ...