Quantification of the Effects of Data Denial and Limitation in MM5 Initialization on Forecast Accuracy
Robert W. Evans
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Quantification of the Effects of Data Denial and Limitation in MM5 Initialization on Forecast Accuracy

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Denied and limited model input data degrade the accuracy of numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecasts. Inaccurate forecasts can negatively impact all military operations and public safety in general. Using the 3-Dimensional Variational Analysis data assimilation scheme and the Pennsylvania State University (PSU)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) as configured and run operationally by the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) in the European theater, input observations were denied in three different categories: total, upper air, and surface observation d...