Optimality Probability of Various Decision Rules
Luba SapirDaniel Berend
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Optimality Probability of Various Decision Rules

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Study of the dichotomous choice model has been initiated by Condorcet in 1785. A group of experts is required to select one of two alternatives, of which exactly one is regarded as correct. Naturally, the model can be applied to a wide variety of social as well as scientific areas. A fundamental notion for this research is that of a decision rule -- a rule which translates the individual opinions of the members into a group decision. A decision rules is optimal if it maximizes the probability of the group to make a correct choice. The goal of our research is identifying the optimal decision ru...