Modelling Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Hepatitis C Virus Epidemics
Zhanhai Gao
Broschiertes Buch

Modelling Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Hepatitis C Virus Epidemics

Mathematical model development and applications to Australia

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There are two parts to this book. Part I is aimed at modelling the transmission of HIV and HCV via needle sharing among injecting drug users (IDUs). The dynamical model of an epidemic through needle sharing among IDUs is derived. This model reveals the correlation between needle sharing and the epidemic prevalence among IDUs. The simulations of HIV and HCV prevalence and incidence aming IDUs in Australia are made with this model. The comparison of simulated results with literature estimates shows that the modelled results are consistent with the literature estimates. The effects of needle shar...