Mandates, Parties, and Voters
How Elections Shape the Future
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"No other work on this subject has developed the straightforward models of general applicability introduced by Fowler and Smirnov that relate mandate, policy-motivation, and competition in successive elections to turnout, uncertainty, and a host of control variables, not to mention evaluated such models empirically." Samuel Merrill III, Professor Emeritus at Wilkes University and co-author of A Unified Theory of Party Competition "The authors address whether the size of victory in an election matters. Answering in the affirmative, they make their case on theory...and show a tendency for strong...
"No other work on this subject has developed the straightforward models of general applicability introduced by Fowler and Smirnov that relate mandate, policy-motivation, and competition in successive elections to turnout, uncertainty, and a host of control variables, not to mention evaluated such models empirically." Samuel Merrill III, Professor Emeritus at Wilkes University and co-author of A Unified Theory of Party Competition "The authors address whether the size of victory in an election matters. Answering in the affirmative, they make their case on theory...and show a tendency for strong victories in the US senate races to move parties away from the political center with respect to the selection of future candidates. And armed with experimental results, they strongly assert...that voter turnout and candidate choice are affected not only by a voter's absolute preference, but also by a voter's notions of whether a landslide is likely and desirable." CHOICE "Using rigorous analytical methods, such as agent-based models and rational choice analysis, and a multitude of data sources, from surveys to market data, [the authors] provide a compelling and valid picture of American government that is rivaled in breadth and empirical consistency by few other explanations...This book is an important read for anyone interested in understanding how our political system works." Political Science Quarterly "In this intriguing book, James Fowler and Oleg Smirnov propose a dynamic model of electoral competition in which 'mandates,' that is, margins of victory, play a central role...This is an impressive study. The authors present an interesting blend of formal theory and inductive reasoning...There is little technical jargon and the presentation is simple and clear. The study is most impressive in its display of an amazing variety of methodological approaches...The message of the book is far from trivial... In short, this is a thoughtful and provocative book." Perspectives on Politics, September 2009
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