Event Driven Hedge Funds and the Business Cycle
Karin Soosova
Broschiertes Buch

Event Driven Hedge Funds and the Business Cycle

A predictive model

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Even driven hedge funds are often claimed to be cyclical, resp. to be strongly dependent on the state of the aggregate economy. The main goal of this work was to investigate this relationship and try to utilize the dependence in return prediction. The prediction approach here was inspired by an existing linear multi-factor model for hedge fund index returns based on financial market variables known to have explanatory power for equities. This work broadens the set of variables in the predictive model by variables which are believed to have predictive power for the business cycle. For different...