Bayesian framework for probabilistic modelling of typhoon risks
Mathias Graf
Broschiertes Buch

Bayesian framework for probabilistic modelling of typhoon risks

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Probabilistic models for natural hazards generally aim at describing the probabilistic characteristics of the underlying physical phenomena associated with the natural hazard events. Thereby, the degree of the detail and requirements to the probabilistic models should be associated with their applications, i.e. types of risk management and more generally decision situations. Seen in this light, most of the existing typhoon models seem to be developed for assessing wind hazards for the purpose to facilitate structural design in regard to wind loads and assessing insured portfolio losses. Wherea...