Analysis of football prediction methods
William Brojanigo
Broschiertes Buch

Analysis of football prediction methods

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Nowadays football betting is becoming more and more popular around the world. In the last few years several works have been done and improved in order to develop models able to predict the outcome of football matches. In our analysis we study the Dixon-Coles model for the full-time scores and then we focus our attention on the difference of goals, since it seems to be more advantageous than modelling the scores themselves. We develop two basic models for the difference of goals based on the discrete Normal distribution that gives us interesting results as compared to the Skellam distribution. ...