John Haigh

Taking Chances (eBook, PDF)

Winning with Probability

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.

---

Dieser Download kann aus rechtlichen Gründen nur mit Rechnungsadresse in A, B, BG, CY, CZ, D, DK, EW, E, FIN, F, GR, HR, H, IRL, I, LT, L, LR, M, NL, PL, P, R, S, SLO, SK ausgeliefert werden.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: Oxford University Press
• Erscheinungstermin: 4. Mai 2000
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9780191594106
• Artikelnr.: 38133496

Autorenporträt

John Haigh is Reader in Statistics at the University of Sussex. His interest in probability was awakened by various card games, and he has made a particular study of lotteries, cards, and dice.

Inhaltsangabe

1: What is probability?
2: Lotteries
3: Football Pools, Premium Bonds
4: One coin, many games
5: Dice
6: Games with few choices
7: Waiting, waiting, waiting
8: Let's play best of three
9: TV games
10: Casino games
11: Bookies, the Tote, spread betting
12: This sporting life
13: Lucky for some--miscellenea
14: Probability for lawyers
Appendix I: Counting
Appendix II: Probability
Appendix III: Averages and variability
Appendix IV: Goodness-of-fit tests
Appendix V: The Kelly strategy
Solutions to Test Yourself quizzes
Literature cited
Index