Bob Johansen, Institute for the Future

Get There Early (16pt Large Print Edition)

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present Offers a proven approach for making sense out of future challenges and devising positive responses, using methods developed by the respected Institute for the Future Features examples of how organizations like Procter & Gamble, Disney, Reuters, UPS, and the Centers for Disease Control have put the approach into practice Includes the institute's ten-year forecast of trends, challenges, and opportunitiesThese days, every leader struggles with a paradox: you can't predict the future, but you have to be able to make sense of it to thrive. In the age of the Internet, everyone knows what's new, but to succeed you have to be able to sort out what's important, devise strategies based on your own point of view, and get there ahead of the crowd.Bob Johansen shares techniques the Institute for the Future has been refining for nearly forty years to help leaders navigate what, borrowing a term from the Army War College, he calls the VUCA world: a world characterized by volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. As the institute's ten-year forecast makes clear, leaders now face fewer problems with neat solutions and more dilemmas: recurring, complex, messy, and puzzling situations. Get There Early lays out the institute's three-step Foresight to Insight to Action Cycle that will allow readers to sense, make sense of, and win with dilemmas. Johansen offers specific techniques, ranging from storytelling to simulation gaming, as well as real-world examples to help readers turn the VUCA world on its head through creative use of vision, understanding, clarity, and agility. This book offers hope for leaders facing the constant tension - a dilemma in itself - between judging too soon and deciding too late.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: ReadHowYouWant
• Seitenzahl: 556
• Erscheinungstermin: 22. Januar 2011
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 234mm x 156mm x 30mm
• Gewicht: 834g
• ISBN-13: 9780369323521
• ISBN-10: 0369323521
• Artikelnr.: 61674046

Autorenporträt

Bob Johansen was president and CEO of the Institute for the Future from 1996 to 2004 and is now the IFTF Distinguished Fellow, as well as serving on its board. He is the author of six books, including GlobalWork: Bridging Distance, Culture, and Time.

Inhaltsangabe

Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present
List of Figures and Tables
Acknowledgments
Foreword, W. Stanton Smith,
Stan Smith is the senior partner at Deloitte who studies the future and plans for generational differences and workforce shifts. He frames the book with a practical futures perspective: how can the study of the future lead to better decisions in the present? He has already employed the ideas in this book in a variety of settings.
Preface
Introduction
Foresight to Insight to Action
This is a personal introduction to the context for Get There Early, concluding with the Foresight to Insight to Action Cycle that is the underlying structure of the book.

Part One FORESIGHT: Sensing Provocative Futures
Foresight is listening for, sensing, and characterizing possible futures without trying to predict what will happen. Foresight stimulates leaders to develop their own vision and get there early. Foresight is provocative. Part One begins to unfold the Foresight to Insight to Action Cycle with more detail on the Foresight zone.
Chapter 1: Thinking Ten Years Ahead to Benefit Today
Getting there early requires foresight and vision; this chapter gives leaders grounding for your own vision-stimulated by a ten-year view of the future.
Chapter 2: Institute for the Future's Ten-Year Forecast
This chapter is a text summary of the visual map to the next decade that is inside the book jacket. In more than 30 years of doing ten-year forecasting, this is IFTF's darkest forecast--but there are also many opportunities. This forecast is a specific chunk of foresight that leaders can build on to stimulate your own vision.
Chapter 3: The VUCA World: Both Danger and Opportunity
The world is loaded with VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity) and it is likely to get worse. VUCA opportunities abound, however, and they are grounded in the vision, understanding, clarity, and agility of leaders. This chapter explores examples of VUCA dangers and opportunities in military, health, education, and business settings.
Chapter 4: What's Different About Dilemmas?
The VUCA World is laced with dilemmas, many of which look like problems at first, except they cannot be solved and they don't go away. This chapter introduces the key differences and lays the groundwork for learning to win with dilemmas and avoid the temptations of certainty. There are still many problems, but problem solving won't be enough.

Part Two INSIGHT: Sense Making to Inspire Strategy
How can leaders use foresight--whether or not they agree with it--to gain insight and inspire it in others? Using stories, immersion experiences, and workshops, leaders can use the provocation of foresight to help create a clear, compelling, and productive way. Leaders must make sense out of the future, as well as what's going on around them, as input to strategy. Part Two is focused on using foresight to inspire strategy. It emphasizes the Foresight to Insight zone on the Cycle.
Chapter 5: It Takes a Story to Understand a Dilemma
Making sense out of the dilemma-packed future is extremely difficult. While problems can be described with data and solved with analytics, these methods are not enough to reveal the truths and opportunities imbedded in dilemmas. The dilemma story is not just a story: it's a mystery. Stories help leaders figure out what's going on and what's possible, as well as to communicate your strategy with clarity.
Chapter 6: Immersion: The Best Way to Learn in the VUCA World
Immersion brings stories to life. The more leaders can immerse themselves in provocative environments, the more they are likely to understand their options for innovation. Chapter 6 introduces a range of immersion experiences, including simulation and alternate reality gaming, as first-person low-risk learning media ideally suited for a world of great uncertainty. Immersion experiences allow leaders to practice without getting hurt.
Chapter 7: Sensing and Sense Making
In o

Rezensionen

"Get there early is a completely transformative learning experience . . . An indispensable guide to success in the world of work today and tomorrow."
-Ellen Galinsky, President, Families And Work Institute

"Johansen does a great job of showing us how getting there early gives organizations the chance to manage the dilemmas of the future."
-Tim Brown, President, IDEO

"Johansen is a masterful storyteller. . . . A must-read for the leader facing the dilemma of what to do today to position for the future."
-Vern D. Higberg, Vice President, Ups Corporate Strategy Group

"As the ceo of a large faith-based healthcare system, i can tell you that the dilemmas we face and the challenges that present themselves grow more significant by the day. Get there early provides a unique blueprint for leaders in healthcare, non-profits, or literally any other industry to achieve success for their organizations in our vuca world."
-Wayne A. Sensor, Chief Executive Officer, Alegent Health

"Johansen has hit a grand slam with get there early. This stimulating volume helps leaders make sense out of the maze of dilemmas like those we constantly face in major league baseball, where we strive to improve the ballpark experience, while also dealing with the growing and ever- changing mix of electronic media delivering our product to our fans."
-Chuck Armstrong, President, Seattle Mariners

"Anticipating the future and effectively addressing it early is becoming an increasingly critical leadership skill in today's dilemma-filled world. In get there early, johansen provides powerful, practical guidance for recognizing and acting on leadership moments at the optimal time."
-M. Carl Johnson, III, Senior Vice President & Chief Strategy Officer, Campbell Soup Company

"Johansen sets out a strategic framework which leaders in any organization can use to make sense of our volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous (vuca) world. Most importantly, he explains how foresight can provide the insight that permits confident action in the vuca world."
-Tom Glocer, CEO, Reuters Group Plc

"Using foresight to drive strategy helps non-profits to become proactive and innovative. The tools and insights in get there early are well-honed methods that nonprofits can use to spot entrepreneurial opportunities and enhance their effectiveness."
-Chad P. Wick, President & CEO, Knowledgeworks Foundation

"Essential reading for entrepreneurs. Johansen helps us make sense of chaotic inputs in our business lives and provides a helpful framework to think about alternative futures. After reading this book, i am excited about framing the dilemmas my young company is facing today. Entre- preneurs are all about 'getting there early.'"
-Cora Tellez, CEO, Sterling HAS

"In our dilemma-laden world, johansen challenges leaders to be sense- makers, not just problem-solvers. Get there early is must reading for anyone committed to leading and winning in a context of uncertainty."
-Jean Mcclung Halloran, Senior Vice President, Human Resources, Agilent Technologies

"Johansen addresses the key leadership challenge of our times-how to create a clear strategic vision for our organizations in an environment of bewildering change and complexity . . . I love his definition of strategic leadership as 'what happens in the space between judging too soon and deciding too late.'"
-Willie Pietersen, Professor, The Practice Of Management, Columbia Business School

"Get there early gives education, business, and government leaders an urgently needed handbook to gain foresight to lead to insights and action to leverage our most important natural resource: our students' minds."
-Milton Chen, PHD, Executive Director, The George Lucas Educational Foundation

"It was the poet Rilke who once wrote that 'the future enters into us, in order to transform itself in us, long before it happens.' Johansen teaches us to recognize that future in our businesses and manage towards it long befo