Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method (eBook, PDF)

Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method (eBook, PDF)

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In this text, modern applied mathematics and physical insight are used to construct the simplest and first nonlinear dynamical model for the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), i.e. the stochastic skeleton model. This model captures the fundamental features of the MJO and offers a theoretical prediction of its structure, leading to new detailed methods to identify it in observational data. The text contributes to understanding and predicting intraseasonal variability, which remains a challenging task in contemporary climate, atmospheric, and oceanic science. In the tropics, the Madden-Julian osci...

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