Forecasting Under Fire: Scenario Layers, Anchor Points & Timing Integrity (Phoenix Specialisations, #2) (eBook, ePUB)
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Forecasting Under Fire is a field manual for leaders who must make decisions under pressure-calmly, quickly, and with the Floor intact. Built as the second volume in the Phoenix Specialisations series, this book transforms forecasting from a spreadsheet exercise into a disciplined operating system: living scenario layers, anchor points that survive weather, and a 13-week cash lens that forces breath.When markets wobble, most forecasts fail at the edge of change. This volume shows you how to build three written regimes-Base, Upside, and Downside-with explicit triggers, first 72-hour moves, and ...
Forecasting Under Fire is a field manual for leaders who must make decisions under pressure-calmly, quickly, and with the Floor intact. Built as the second volume in the Phoenix Specialisations series, this book transforms forecasting from a spreadsheet exercise into a disciplined operating system: living scenario layers, anchor points that survive weather, and a 13-week cash lens that forces breath.
When markets wobble, most forecasts fail at the edge of change. This volume shows you how to build three written regimes-Base, Upside, and Downside-with explicit triggers, first 72-hour moves, and exit rules. You will learn to replace commentary with choreography, single-truth fragility with three living paths, and delays with pre-authorised action.
Inside, you'll master:
• Scenario layers that trigger movement, not meetings • Anchor points that pre-commit behaviour when signals fire • A weekly 13-week cash ritual that keeps the Floor protected • A model of record that kills "zombie versions" and narrative drift • A monthly re-base that tightens reality without rebuilding everything • A one-page board/lender script built for clarity, not theatre
Designed for CFOs, CEOs, operators, and finance leaders who prefer precision over volume, Forecasting Under Fire gives you the language, rules, and cadence to move early-without haste, without drama, and without losing the horizon.
Velocity is not an accident. It is choreography.
When markets wobble, most forecasts fail at the edge of change. This volume shows you how to build three written regimes-Base, Upside, and Downside-with explicit triggers, first 72-hour moves, and exit rules. You will learn to replace commentary with choreography, single-truth fragility with three living paths, and delays with pre-authorised action.
Inside, you'll master:
• Scenario layers that trigger movement, not meetings • Anchor points that pre-commit behaviour when signals fire • A weekly 13-week cash ritual that keeps the Floor protected • A model of record that kills "zombie versions" and narrative drift • A monthly re-base that tightens reality without rebuilding everything • A one-page board/lender script built for clarity, not theatre
Designed for CFOs, CEOs, operators, and finance leaders who prefer precision over volume, Forecasting Under Fire gives you the language, rules, and cadence to move early-without haste, without drama, and without losing the horizon.
Velocity is not an accident. It is choreography.
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