Improving Cape Canaveral's Next-Day Thunderstorm Forecasting Using a Meso-Eta Model-Based Index
John C. Crane
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Improving Cape Canaveral's Next-Day Thunderstorm Forecasting Using a Meso-Eta Model-Based Index

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Reliable thunderstorm forecasts are essential to safety and resource protection at Cape Canaveral. Current methods of forecasting day-2 thunderstorms provide little improvement over forecasting by persistence alone and are therefore in need of replacement. This thesis focuses on using the mesoscale eta model to develop an index for improved forecasting of day-2 thunderstorms. Surface observations from the shuttle landing facility and the coincident output of the mesoscale eta forecast model were collected for the period of 1 May to 14 Sep 1998. Variables extracted from the eta forecast model o...